Bottom-placed Halmstad host free-scoring league leaders Sirius in a clash where both sides are missing six regular starters, magnifying the superiority of the visitors’ depth. Halmstad have looked fragile defensively, shipping nearly three expected goals per game in their last three outings, while Sirius arrive unbeaten away and still hunting goals (2.7 scored per road match). Even with the rotation, Sirius should dominate possession and pick apart a backline that has kept only one home clean sheet all season. The only question is whether Halmstad can nick a consolation against a similarly unsettled Sirius defence.
Match ResultHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeAway WinCorrect
Top vs bottom — Sirius are unbeaten in 10 and perfect on the road (6W, 1D) while Halmstad have lost four of their last five. Despite six changes for both sides, the quality gap holds.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeAway or DrawCorrect
Sirius have not lost an away fixture all season and Halmstad have collected only one win in seven at home. A draw is the worst case for the visitors, so backing Sirius with the safety net is very strong.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsIncorrect
Sirius matches this season average 4.1 goals; their recent away games have all cleared 2.5 goals. Halmstad concede heavily (3.37 xG against in last five) and both teams are fielding unfamiliar defences, pointing to an open game.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
How Our Call Changed
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
Total Goals
Kept 3 or more goals, moved confidence high → medium
Final Scoreline
Switched from 1-2 to 1-3
Half-time / Full-time
Withdrawn before kickoff — had been Away, then Away
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
0.73xG2.60
42%Possession58%
14 (5)Shots (on target)18 (8)
1Big Chances Created3
Attacking Play
0.45xG on Target3.18
Possession & Passing
452 · 84%Passes (accuracy)611 · 87%
2Corners10
Duels & Pressing
28Duels Won41
2 (18%)Aerial Duels Won9 (82%)
Defending & Discipline
6Saves5
13Fouls6
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Halmstad
0.73xG
14 shots · 5 on target
Sirius
2.60xG
19 shots · 8 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Isak BjerkeboGoal
16' · Sirius
3 / 33
xG
0.79
xGOT
0.76
Body part
Right foot
Situation
Penalty
Key Moments
Match Events
14'⚽
T. Anker
Sirius
16'P
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
Half Time
50'
G. Friberg
Halmstad
67'
H. Carneil
off: M. Illary
Halmstad
68'
M. Persson
off: A. Damnjanovic
Halmstad
68'
J. Persson
off: O. Adindu
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
35. Adam Wihed21. Joel Nilsson16. Erko Jonne Tougjas34. Hjalmar Åberg4. Filip Schyberg13. Vincent Johansson14. Hussein Carneil22. Oliver Kapsimalis18. Malte Persson
Sirius
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
1. Ismael Diawara20. Victor Ekstrom35. Elliot Eld15. Simon Sandberg36. August Ljungberg18. Adam Wikman7. Joakim Persson23. Finlay Neat37. Robin Krügel
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