Sirius sit top of the Allsvenskan with an unblemished home record and a five-match winning streak, while IFK Goteborg arrive at Studenternas IP leaking goals at an alarming rate on the road — 20 conceded in seven away games, no clean sheets. Two regular starters are missing for the hosts, but their attacking unit remains the most potent in the division and should overwhelm a Goteborg backline still reeling from a 6-0 away thrashing. The visitors have the occasional counter-punch, yet their defensive fragility against this Sirius side, who have scored in every home game, points to a long afternoon for the away team. Expect the league leaders' tempo and movement to decide the contest early.
Match ResultHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome WinCorrect
Sirius have won five of six at home and are riding an overall five-match winning run; Goteborg have lost three of seven away, shipped six in one of those defeats, and have been beaten in three of the last four head-to-head meetings.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
Sirius are unbeaten at home (5W 1D) and Goteborg’s away form (2W 2D 3L) does not suggest an upset here — backing the home side with the draw cushions against any rare off-day, while an away win looks the least likely outcome given the 14-point gap in the table.
Total GoalsHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsCorrect
Sirius home matches have produced 4.1 goals per game on average and cleared 2.5 in three of their last four; every one of Goteborg’s last four away games finished over 2.5, with totals of 4, 9, 5 and 4 goals, creating a strong pattern for another high-scoring contest.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
2.25xG1.69
44%Possession56%
13 (7)Shots (on target)12 (4)
4Big Chances Created3
Attacking Play
3.78xG on Target1.09
Possession & Passing
442 · 88%Passes (accuracy)565 · 87%
4Corners4
Duels & Pressing
40Duels Won34
6 (50%)Aerial Duels Won6 (50%)
Defending & Discipline
3Saves3
7Fouls16
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Sirius
2.25xG
13 shots · 7 on target
IFK Goteborg
1.69xG
12 shots · 4 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Sam LarssonGoal
45' · IFK Goteborg
7 / 25
xG
0.79
xGOT
0.72
Body part
Right foot
Situation
Penalty
Key Moments
Match Events
6'⚽
M. Soumah
Sirius
19'
M. Heier
Sirius
19'
K. Thordarson
IFK Goteborg
23'⚽
R. Ure
Sirius
45'P
S. Larsson
IFK Goteborg
Half Time
53'
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
54'
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
34
4
2
5
6
10
11
21
25
9
12
28
6
4
3
15
14
8
7
29