Djurgårdens IF have leaned heavily on their fast starts this season, scoring 25% of their goals inside the first 15 minutes, and they face a Västerås side that has conceded 37% of their goals in that exact window — a mismatch that could shape the whole evening. Both sides show five regulars missing from their typical XIs, injecting real uncertainty into the contest, but the home team’s superior goal threat (2.3 goals per game at home) and a head-to-head record of four wins and no defeats in six meetings keeps them as deserved favourites. Västerås are no pushovers on the road, with four wins in seven away trips, yet their tendency to leak early and struggle to shut out opponents (only two clean sheets away) makes them vulnerable. Expect an open game where both defences give up chances, but Djurgårdens’ attacking rhythm at the Tele2 Arena should prove just enough.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome WinCorrect
Home advantage, a strong head-to-head record, and Västerås's defensive fragility in the first 15 minutes tilt the game in Djurgårdens's favour, though heavy rotation on both sides reduces certainty.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
With four wins and two draws from six previous meetings, Djurgårdens have never lost to Västerås; an away win looks highly unlikely even with rotated lineups.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsCorrect
Seven of Djurgårdens' last ten overall games and eight of their last ten at home have produced over 2.5 goals, while Västerås's away matches have also seen a high rate of goal-heavy affairs.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
How Our Call Changed
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
3.17xG1.04
48%Possession52%
18 (11)Shots (on target)13 (10)
5Big Chances Created0
Attacking Play
4.61xG on Target0.51
Possession & Passing
432 · 80%Passes (accuracy)474 · 84%
5Corners1
Duels & Pressing
62Duels Won38
11 (55%)Aerial Duels Won9 (45%)
Defending & Discipline
10Saves5
8Fouls15
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Djurgardens IF
3.17xG
18 shots · 11 on target
Vasteras SK FK
1.04xG
16 shots · 10 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Kristian LienGoal
53' · Djurgardens IF
18 / 34
xG
0.79
xGOT
0.97
Body part
Left foot
Situation
Open play
Key Moments
Match Events
5'⚽
P. Aslund
assist: K. Lien
Djurgardens IF
13'⚽
K. Lien
Djurgardens IF
28'⚽
A. Stahl
assist: M. Larsson
Djurgardens IF
34'
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
36'
M. Keita
Vasteras SK FK
Half Time
46'
J. Karlsson
off: M. Baggesen
Vasteras SK FK
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
45. Filip Manojlović3. Leon Hien2. Piotr Johansson21. Mikael Marqués7. Christos Almyras29. Alexander Johansson19. Jeppe Okkels23. Nino Žugelj22. Joel Asoro
Vasteras SK FK
Coach: Alexander Rubin
1. Anton Fagerström24. Jack Tagesson21. Victor Wernersson20. Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist15. Jonathan Karlsson30. Mattias Hellisdal16. Bonaventure Lendambi19. Jens Magnusson7. Abdelrahman Boudah
22 Jan 22Djurgardens IF3–0Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs