IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK: Four Straight Wins
Published
IFK Goteborg host Vasteras SK FK in Allsvenskan on Friday 9 October 2026 at Gamla Ullevi in Göteborg, having won their last four league fixtures.
Goteborg bring a four-match winning streak
IFK Goteborg enter Matchweek 23 in 9th position with 32 points from 22 games. Their recent run includes a 1-0 win at IF Brommapojkarna on 19 September 2026, a 2-1 victory over Halmstad on 12 September, a 4-1 win away at Mjallby AIF on 7 September, and a 1-0 result against Orgryte IS on 30 August. In the reverse fixture on 31 May 2026, Goteborg won a nine-goal match 5-4 against Vasteras SK FK. Sam Larsson heads the home club's scoring chart with 7 goals across all competitions this season.
Six absentees test the home squad
Despite creating 1.78 expected goals per game and allowing 1.14 over their last five matches with chance data, Goteborg face squad shortages. Hjörtur Hermannsson misses the match through suspension, while Adam Bergmark Wiberg, Alexander Jallow, Arbnor Muçolli, August Erlingmark, and Ramon-Pascal Lundqvist are all ruled out with injuries.
Vasteras SK FK carry six away victories
Vasteras SK FK sit 6th in the table with 35 points from 22 matches, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats across 11 away games in Allsvenskan. They arrive after a 2-0 home victory against Malmo FF on 19 September 2026 and a 4-1 away win at AIK Stockholm on 12 September. Top scorer Mikkel Ladefoged has registered 9 goals this season in all competitions, though the visiting side will be without the injured Jonathan Ring. Over their past five fixtures with chance metrics, Vasteras SK FK created 1.76 expected goals per match while conceding an average of 1.78.
Our model expects an IFK Goteborg win
Our model expects an IFK Goteborg win with medium confidence. That assessment aligns with Goteborg's home return of 5 wins and 3 draws from 11 matches, alongside a tighter defensive chance profile than Vasteras SK FK, who concede 1.78 expected goals per game. Vasteras SK FK's 6 away wins and Goteborg's six missing regulars remain the primary counterweights to the projection.

