BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS

BK Hacken meet Orgryte IS in Allsvenskan at Nordic Wellness Arena in Gothenburg on Sunday 11 October 2026, with the visitors carrying nine defeats from 11 away league games this season.

Orgryte IS have lost nine of 11 away games

Orgryte IS enter Matchweek 23 sitting 15th in the table with 15 points from 22 matches and a minus-24 goal difference. Their travels have produced two wins and nine losses from 11 league fixtures, with eight goals scored and 29 conceded. They are without a win in their last five outings, most recently falling 1-2 at home to Sirius on 19 September 2026 after a 1-4 defeat away at Malmo FF on 13 September 2026. Across their last five games with chance data, Orgryte IS have allowed 2.48 expected goals per match while creating 1.12. Injuries further restrict their selection, with Aydarus Abukar, Jerome Tibbling Ugwo, Rasmus Alm, Viktor Ekblom, and William Svensson all ruled out. Leading scorer Noah Christoffersson, who has eight goals in all competitions, carries their primary scoring threat.

BK Hacken lean on Lindgren after Kalmar rout

BK Hacken occupy fifth place with 36 points from 22 games, holding a goal difference of plus-9 after scoring 39 times. They entered the break following a 5-0 victory away at Kalmar FF on 20 September 2026, extending an unbeaten run of three games that also included a 1-1 home draw against Mjallby AIF on 11 September 2026 and a 0-0 draw at Gais on 5 September 2026. Top scorer Gustav Lindgren leads the attack with 12 goals across all competitions, supported by underlying chance creation of 1.73 expected goals per game over their last five matches while allowing 1.17. The home side must manage four absences, with Adam Lundkvist, Ben Engdahl, Christ Wawa, and Filip Öhman all out injured. The reverse fixture between these sides was an open affair on 11 July 2026, when Orgryte IS edged a 4-3 victory.

Our model firmly expects a BK Hacken win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a BK Hacken win. The projection reflects the sharp contrast between Orgryte IS's away record of nine defeats and Hacken's superior chance balance, which sees them producing 1.73 expected goals per match compared to Orgryte IS's concession of 2.48. While Hacken's four defensive absences and their 4-3 defeat in the reverse fixture show Orgryte IS have found ways to score against them, the visitors' defensive record of 49 league goals conceded makes another upset difficult to repeat.