Fiorentina vs Napoli: Eight Absentees for Napoli
Updated
Fiorentina meet Napoli in Serie A on Sunday 20 September 2026 at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze, where the visitors arrive dealing with eight squad absences.
Napoli travel with eight players missing or doubtful
Manager Massimiliano Allegri faces a depleted squad for the trip to Firenze. A. Buongiorno, A. Meret, Alisson Santos, Giovane, and L. Marianucci are out through injury, while S. McTominay is ruled out by illness. F. Anguissa and L. Spinazzola remain doubtful with injuries of their own. Napoli enter the weekend 10th in Serie A with six points from four games, scoring six and conceding five. Rasmus Højlund leads their scoring chart with two goals this season. Over their last five matches with chance data, Napoli have generated 1.18 expected goals per game while allowing 1.95.
Fiorentina seek first home points of the season
Fiorentina sit 16th in Serie A with three points from four matches, having lost both home fixtures at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Their home record stands at zero wins and two defeats, with one goal scored and five conceded following a 0-3 loss to Frosinone on 29 August 2026 and a 1-2 defeat against Torino on 5 September 2026. However, they ended a three-match losing sequence on 11 September 2026 with a 4-2 away win at Venezia, where Franco Mastantuono scored a hat-trick to move to three goals this season. F. Parisi is out injured for the hosts, while R. Sottil is doubtful. Across their last four matches, Fiorentina have generated 1.79 expected goals per game and allowed 1.28.
Napoli beat Fiorentina in both 2025 and 2026 meetings
Recent encounters between these sides have gone the way of Napoli. Napoli won 3-1 at Fiorentina on 13 September 2025 before taking a 2-1 victory on 31 January 2026. Napoli collected their second league win of the campaign with a 1-0 result against Bologna on 13 September 2026, recovering from back-to-back losses against Como (1-2) and Inter (2-3), as well as a 0-1 defeat to Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on 9 September 2026.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Napoli win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Napoli win. The call reflects Napoli's recent head-to-head record against Fiorentina, having won the last two meetings by 3-1 and 2-1 scorelines, and Fiorentina's record on their own pitch with zero points from two home matches. However, the forecast remains cautious because Napoli have conceded 1.95 expected goals per match while missing eight players including S. McTominay, A. Meret, and A. Buongiorno.

