Parma vs Genoa

Parma host Genoa in Serie A on Sunday, 20 September 2026, at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with both clubs having earned just one point from their opening four matches. The sides occupy 18th and 19th in the standings, having scored only two goals each so far this season.

Parma and Genoa both average under one expected goal

Parma sit 18th in Serie A with one point and a minus-four goal difference from four games. The team opened with a 1-0 defeat at home to Cagliari on 22 August 2026, followed by a 2-0 away loss to Juventus on 29 August. Their only point came in a 1-1 home draw against Monza on 6 September, before a 2-1 defeat at Como on 14 September. Across their four matches with chance data, Parma created 0.74 expected goals a game while conceding 1.84.

Genoa have endured an identical points return, placing 19th on goal difference with minus-six. They opened with a 2-0 defeat at home to Napoli on 22 August, fell 1-0 away to Lazio on 30 August, and lost 4-1 at home to Como on 4 September. The visitors collected their first point in a 1-1 draw at home to Frosinone on 12 September. Genoa generate 0.95 expected goals a game while conceding 1.36.

Vasquez suspended for Genoa as Nicolussi Caviglia misses out

Genoa travel without defender Johan Vasquez due to suspension, while Elias Havel and Lorenzo Venturino remain sidelined through injury. Genoa have played once away in Serie A this season, suffering a 1-0 loss at Lazio without scoring.

Parma are missing Hans Nicolussi Caviglia through injury, while Ousseynou Diallo is doubtful. At Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma have one draw and one loss from two Serie A fixtures, scoring one goal and conceding two. The two most recent encounters between these clubs produced no goals at all, ending 0-0 on 18 January 2026 and 0-0 on 19 October 2025.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Parma and Genoa draw

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a draw between Parma and Genoa. Neither team has secured a league win in the 2026-27 season, each tallying one draw and three defeats. Both attacks have struggled for output, scoring two goals across four league games. The last two head-to-head fixtures between the sides finished without a single goal scored, while Genoa's missing defender Vasquez and Parma's chance concession of 1.84 expected goals per game leave both sides with unresolved issues.