Genoa vs Fiorentina: Five Missing for Winless Hosts
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Genoa host Fiorentina in Serie A on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, seeking their first league victory of the campaign while managing five injury absences.
Five injuries deplete Genoa's squad
Genoa sit 19th in Serie A with one point from five games, having scored three goals and conceded ten. Five players are sidelined through injury for this fixture: Djibril Sow, Elias Havel, Franz-Ethan Meichtry, Lorenzo Colombo, and Lorenzo Venturino.
The absence of Colombo leaves Milutin Osmajić, who leads the squad with two goals in all competitions, carrying Genoa's forward line. At Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa have recorded one draw and two defeats in three league outings, scoring twice and allowing seven.
Fiorentina find attacking form behind Mastantuono
Fiorentina occupy 17th place with four points from five matches. After opening the league schedule with three consecutive defeats, they collected four points from their next two fixtures: a 4-2 victory away at Venezia on 11 September and a 1-1 home draw with Napoli on 20 September.
Franco Mastantuono leads Fiorentina with three goals in all competitions. Across their last five matches with chance data, Fiorentina generated 1.62 expected goals per game while allowing 1.31, contrasting with Genoa's 0.91 created and 1.16 allowed. Fiorentina travel without Arthur Atta and Fabiano Parisi, both ruled out through injury.
Genoa winless in five head-to-head meetings
Genoa have failed to win any of their previous five meetings with Fiorentina. The two most recent encounters ended level: a 2-2 draw in Genoa on 9 November 2025 and a 0-0 stalemate on 10 May 2026. Fiorentina won the two prior fixtures before that, taking a 1-0 victory on 31 October 2024 and a 2-1 win on 2 February 2025.
Our model leans towards a Fiorentina win
Our model leans narrowly towards a Fiorentina win. Low confidence reflects Fiorentina's defensive return of 12 goals conceded in five league matches, alongside an away record of one win and one loss. However, Genoa's five confirmed absences and their failure to record a league victory this season tip the evaluation toward the visitors.
