Twente vs PSV Eindhoven: Six Missing for Leaders
Updated
Twente face league leaders PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at De Grolsch Veste, with both sides seeking to protect unblemished venue records.
PSV Eindhoven bring 22 goals and six absences
PSV Eindhoven sit 1st in the Eredivisie with 16 points from 6 matches, having scored 22 goals and conceded 7. Away from home, they have won all 3 league games, scoring 11 times while allowing 3. Their attacking productivity shows in chance creation, generating 2.10 expected goals a game while conceding 0.78 over their last 5 fixtures with data. Sven Mijnans leads their scoring with 4 goals this season.
However, the visitors travel to Enschede without six senior options. A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, K. Sildillia, and S. Ouaissa are all sidelined by injury, while forward S. Lammers misses out through fitness. Despite those absences, PSV arrive following a 4-1 victory over Sparta Rotterdam on 13 September 2026 and a 1-1 draw with Shakhtar Donetsk on 10 September 2026.
Twente defend unblemished home record behind Marko Pjaca
Twente occupy 5th place with 13 points from 6 games, holding a goal difference of +7 after scoring 12 and allowing 5. Their league record at De Grolsch Veste stands at 3 wins from 3 matches, with 6 goals scored and 1 conceded. Recent domestic home outings produced a 2-0 victory against ADO Den Haag on 12 September 2026 and a 1-0 win over Telstar on 9 September 2026.
Forward Marko Pjaca has scored 6 goals this season across all competitions. Twente's backline has been equally stingy, allowing just 0.23 expected goals per game across their last 5 outings, though they must manage without K. Hlynsson, who is not in the squad, and the injured S. Lemkin.
PSV Eindhoven hold aggregate edge from past meetings
Recent head-to-head fixtures heavily favor the visitors. PSV Eindhoven secured a 5-1 victory when the teams met on 17 May 2026, following a 2-0 win on 17 August 2025. Over those two meetings, PSV outscored Twente 7-1.
Our model expects a PSV Eindhoven win
Our forecasting model expects a PSV Eindhoven win. PSV enter with 22 league goals scored in 6 matches, a perfect away record of 3 wins from 3, and back-to-back victories over Twente in head-to-head fixtures. Twente's defensive concession of only 0.23 expected goals per match and their own spotless home run present clear resistance, but PSV's attacking volume of 2.10 expected goals per game tilts the forecast in the leaders' direction.

