PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen: Six PSV Absentees

PSV EindhovenPSV

Guus Til 29'
Marcus Linday 68' (og)

Eredivisie

2–0

Full Time

HT 1–0

Johan Cruijff ArenA

Amsterdam

HeerenveenHEE

AI ForecastsGraded

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PSV Eindhoven arrive as the best side in the division on pedigree and current output, with a sharp attack that has scored heavily in almost every recent outing. Heerenveen are a mid-table side with a decent away record this season, but their recent form is patchy and they have struggled to score in several recent matches. PSV's high press and possession should pin Heerenveen back, though PSV have been leaky early in matches and have not kept a clean sheet all season. Heerenveen's route to a goal is through those early lapses and set pieces, while PSV have won most recent meetings convincingly.

Match ResultHome Win77%

PSV have scored three or more in most of their recent games, are unbeaten at home this season and have won eight of ten meetings with Heerenveen. Heerenveen's recent form is a run of draws and defeats, and their starter Dirk Proper is out.

Win or DrawHome or Draw90%

PSV avoiding defeat is very likely given their home record and attacking output, while Heerenveen would need an early goal and a disciplined defensive display to take anything from the match.

Total Goals3 or more goals79%

PSV have gone past 2.5 goals in nine of their last ten and this league runs high on goals. Heerenveen have scored freely in their away outings, so the match should go past that mark even if the visitors' overall record is mixed.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls.

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen: Six PSV Absentees

Published Thu 8 Oct

PSV Eindhoven meet Heerenveen in Eredivisie action on Friday, 9 October 2026, at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in Amsterdam, with the home side managing six confirmed injury absences.

PSV manage six injuries while scoring 24 league goals

PSV Eindhoven sit third in the Eredivisie table with 16 points from seven matches, holding a plus-14 goal difference. They have scored 24 times in the league, averaging 2.09 expected goals per game over their last five outings while allowing 1.42. However, squad depth will be tested with Adamo Nagalo, Alassane Pléa, Jerdy Schouten, Kilian Sildillia, Sam Lammers, and Sami Ouaissa all ruled out through injury. Top scorer Guus Til, who has four goals across all competitions this season, remains available to lead the attack. PSV fell 3-2 away at Twente on 20 September after a 4-1 home victory over Sparta Rotterdam on 13 September, and they have taken two wins and one draw from their three home league fixtures, scoring 11 goals in the process.

Heerenveen arrive unbeaten in away matches

Heerenveen occupy 10th position in the division with nine points from seven fixtures. While they have struggled for consistency at home, their away form has yielded one win and two draws from three league fixtures, with eight goals scored and four conceded. In their most recent league outing on 19 September, Heerenveen recorded a 4-0 away victory over Sparta Rotterdam. Jacob Trenskow leads their scoring charts with three goals in all competitions, supported by an underlying return of 1.43 expected goals created and 1.02 conceded across their last five matches. The visitors will have to cope without three injured players of their own: Dirk Proper, Mats Egbring, and Mees Hilgers.

PSV have won the last three meetings

Recent head-to-head fixtures heavily favour PSV Eindhoven, who have won the last three encounters between the clubs. PSV recorded a 3-1 home win on 21 February 2026, preceded by a 2-0 away victory on 6 December 2025 and a 2-1 home triumph on 8 March 2025. Across their last five meetings dating back to April 2024, PSV have outscored Heerenveen 15-3, with Heerenveen's sole victory during that sequence coming in a 1-0 result on 14 December 2024.

Our model firmly expects a PSV Eindhoven win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a PSV Eindhoven win. This call reflects PSV's dominance in recent head-to-head encounters and their superior attacking production of 24 league goals in seven games, although Heerenveen's unbeaten away record and the extensive list of absentees for the hosts represent significant variables in the contest.

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