Falkirk vs Dundee

Falkirk host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Falkirk Stadium, dealing with six injury issues despite taking points from their last three league fixtures.

Six Falkirk players absent or doubtful

Falkirk sit 11th in the 12-team table with six points from seven matches, scoring six goals and conceding nine. Selection is constrained by an extensive injury list: Aidan Nesbitt, Conor McLeod, Ethan Laidlaw, Finn Yeats, and Joseph Gardner are all ruled out, while Keelan Adams remains doubtful. In their last five matches with chance data, Falkirk created 1.20 expected goals a game while allowing 1.96. Even with those figures, they enter this round unbeaten in three league matches, having drawn 1-1 away to St Johnstone on 19 September, beaten Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 at home on 15 September, and drawn 1-1 away to Dundee Utd on 5 September. Their league record at Falkirk Stadium stands at one win and two defeats from three games, with three goals scored and five conceded.

Dundee sit fourth behind Joe Westley's three goals

Dundee enter the fixture fourth in the Premiership table with 10 points from seven games and a plus-two goal difference. Joe Westley leads their scoring chart with three goals across all competitions this season. Away from home in the competition, Dundee have won once and lost twice in three attempts, scoring three goals and conceding three. Their form across recent weeks includes a 2-1 home win over Motherwell on 19 September, a 2-1 away loss at Heart Of Midlothian on 6 September, and a 1-1 home draw against St Johnstone on 2 September. Dundee's chance data across their last five recorded matches shows 1.23 expected goals created and 1.55 allowed per game. Ashley Hay is their only confirmed absentee due to injury.

Falkirk have won both recent home meetings

Recent head-to-head fixtures point to home advantage. Falkirk secured a 1-0 win against Dundee on 11 February 2026 and also defeated them 2-1 on 25 October 2025. Dundee's lone victory across their last three encounters was a 1-0 win on 27 December 2025.

Our model expects a Falkirk win

Our model expects a Falkirk win, offering the prediction with medium confidence. That projection is supported by Falkirk's recent record in this fixture at Falkirk Stadium and their current three-game unbeaten league run, set against Dundee's higher league position and Falkirk's defensive concession of 1.96 expected goals per game.