Rangers vs Kilmarnock

Rangers host Kilmarnock in the Premiership at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow on Saturday 10 October 2026, entering the match on a run of five consecutive league victories.

Five straight wins take Rangers to second place

Rangers sit second in the Premiership table with 16 points from 7 matches, having conceded only four goals all season. Their current winning sequence began on 30 August 2026 with a 1-0 victory away at Aberdeen, followed by a 2-1 win at Falkirk on 2 September 2026. The home side then produced three successive 1-0 results: defeating Motherwell on 5 September 2026, St Mirren on 9 September 2026, and Celtic away from home on 20 September 2026. At Ibrox Stadium, they have recorded two wins and one defeat across three matches, scoring three goals and conceding two.

Five absentees include top scorer Lawrence Shankland

Despite their winning sequence, Rangers enter this round without five first-team players through injury. Top scorer Lawrence Shankland, who has recorded three goals across all competitions this season, remains sidelined. Also absent are Daisuke Yokota, José Cifuentes, Tuur Rommens, and Youssef Chermiti. Across their past five matches with chance tracking, the home side generated 2.38 expected goals per game while allowing 0.73.

Bottom-placed Kilmarnock face a poor head-to-head record

Kilmarnock sit 12th in the Premiership table with five points from seven games and a minus-nine goal difference, having conceded 15 goals. While they are unbeaten in their last three league outings—drawing 0-0 at Aberdeen on 5 September 2026, winning 1-0 away at Hibernian on 15 September 2026, and drawing 1-1 with Heart Of Midlothian on 19 September 2026—they remain without injured defender Robbie Deas. In previous meetings between these clubs, Rangers have won five consecutive games, outscoring Kilmarnock 21-4. The latest fixture ended in a 5-1 Rangers victory on 4 February 2026, following a 3-0 away win on 6 December 2025, a 3-1 win on 26 October 2025, a 4-2 win on 26 February 2025, and a 6-0 win on 4 December 2024.

Our model firmly expects a Rangers win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Rangers win on Saturday. Rangers dominate the underlying numbers, creating 2.38 expected goals per game compared to Kilmarnock's 1.03, while Kilmarnock allow 1.78 expected goals per match against Rangers' 0.73. Although Rangers must manage without Lawrence Shankland and four other injured players, Kilmarnock's position at the bottom of the table and their run of five straight defeats in this fixture support the model's call.