Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren

Heart Of Midlothian host St Mirren in the Premiership on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh, carrying a flawless home record into round 8.

Hearts defend three wins from three at home

Heart Of Midlothian sit third in the table with 13 points from seven matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding eight. At Tynecastle Park, they have taken maximum points in the Premiership, winning all three fixtures while scoring eight times and allowing only two. Their home victories include a 2-1 win over Dundee on 6 September and a 2-1 result against St Johnstone on 29 August. While their last two away trips brought a 1-2 defeat at Falkirk on 15 September and a 1-1 draw at Kilmarnock on 19 September, their chance metrics remain positive, generating 1.63 expected goals per game while conceding 1.15. Top scorer James Wilson leads the attack with four goals in all competitions, though the defense must cope without injured quartet Blair Spittal, Craig Halkett, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, and Tom Renaud.

St Mirren arrive after three straight defeats

St Mirren occupy fifth position with 10 points and a minus-one goal difference after seven rounds. Their early form has stalled following three consecutive league losses: 1-2 against Celtic on 5 September, 0-1 away to Rangers on 9 September, and 0-3 at home to Dundee United on 19 September. Across their last five fixtures, they have conceded an average of 1.97 expected goals per game while creating 1.51. Killian Phillips remains their primary threat with three goals this season, and their earlier away form yielded two wins from three matches with just one goal conceded. However, five players are sidelined through injury: Jonah Ayunga, Keanu Baccus, Liam Donnelly, Malik Dijksteel, and Samuel Ramos.

Our model firmly expects a Heart Of Midlothian win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Heart Of Midlothian win. Hearts have won three of the past five meetings between the sides, including 2-0 and 4-0 shutouts at Tynecastle Park. The hosts also bring a 100 percent home winning record into the weekend, matched against an away team currently on a three-game losing run and missing five players through injury.