St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo: Westerlo Scored Eight in Two
Updated
St. Truiden host KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday, 20 September 2026, at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium in St.-Trond, with the visitors arriving after scoring eight goals in their last two matches.
KVC Westerlo score eight goals across two consecutive wins
KVC Westerlo enter Matchweek 7 in 13th place with seven points from six matches, having recorded a 4-0 away win at KV Mechelen on 5 September followed by a 4-2 home victory against Standard Liege on 12 September. Forward Norman Bassette has three goals across all competitions this season to lead the squad. Despite the recent surge of eight goals, KVC Westerlo have generated an average of 0.73 expected goals while allowing 1.42 expected goals over their last five matches with chance data. In their three away fixtures in the league, they hold a record of one win and two defeats, conceding seven goals.
Samed Baždar leads St. Truiden attack with four goals
St. Truiden occupy 10th position in the table with eight points, scoring 12 goals and conceding 10 across their opening six fixtures. Samed Baždar is their leading goalscorer with four goals in all competitions. St. Truiden suffered a 2-0 away loss to SK Beveren on 12 September, which followed a 4-0 home victory against RAAL La Louvière on 5 September and a 3-0 home defeat against Union St. Gilloise on 2 September. At Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium in league action, they have recorded one win, one draw, and one defeat from three games, scoring five and conceding four. Across their last five matches with chance metrics, St. Truiden have created 1.40 expected goals per game while conceding 1.82.
St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo separated by away shutouts
Recent head-to-head fixtures between the two clubs have favored the visiting team. St. Truiden won 4-0 away at KVC Westerlo on 6 February 2026, reversing a 3-0 away win for KVC Westerlo at St. Truiden on 14 September 2025. Across those two encounters, the visiting side won by at least three goals without conceding.
Our model expects a St. Truiden win
Our model expects a St. Truiden win on Sunday. The home side creates an average of 1.40 expected goals per match compared to 0.73 for KVC Westerlo. However, KVC Westerlo bring the sharper scoring form into the contest after striking eight times in their past two league matches, while St. Truiden have conceded 10 goals in six league outings.
