AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid: Five Straight Defeats
Updated
AD Ceuta FC host Valladolid in Segunda División on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in Ceuta, with the home side still searching for their first point of the league season.
AD Ceuta FC concede fifteen goals across five defeats
AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd in the table after losing all five of their opening matches, scoring two goals and conceding 15 to register a minus-13 goal difference. Their campaign began with a 5-1 defeat away at FC Andorra on 15 August 2026, followed by a 2-0 home loss against Las Palmas on 22 August and a 3-0 defeat away at Mallorca on 30 August. They were then beaten 2-0 at home by Celta de Vigo II on 5 September before falling 3-1 away at Burgos on 11 September.
At Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, the hosts have lost both fixtures without scoring, conceding four goals in the process. Over their last three matches with chance data, AD Ceuta FC have created an average of 0.72 expected goals per game while allowing 2.37.
Valladolid remain winless on their travels
Valladolid enter Matchweek 6 in 18th place with four points from five fixtures, having scored two goals and conceded seven. Away from home, they have drawn one and lost two of their three matches, scoring once and conceding four. That away sequence includes a 2-0 defeat at Mallorca on 15 August 2026, a 1-0 loss at Eibar on 23 August, and a 1-1 draw at Cadiz on 30 August.
Their sole victory of the league campaign came on 5 September 2026 in a 1-0 home win over FC Andorra, but they followed that result with a 3-0 home defeat against Oviedo on 13 September. Chance metrics over their last four matches show Valladolid generating 0.61 expected goals per game while conceding 0.91.
Valladolid won both meetings in 2025 and 2026
Previous encounters between these two clubs heavily favour the visitors. Valladolid recorded a 3-0 home victory against AD Ceuta FC on 15 August 2025, and followed it with a 3-0 win away at AD Ceuta FC on 17 January 2026. Across both meetings, AD Ceuta FC failed to score while conceding six times.
Our model leans towards a Valladolid win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Valladolid win, carrying low confidence. The call aligns with Valladolid's historical dominance in this fixture and AD Ceuta FC's porous defensive record of 15 goals allowed in five matches. However, the low confidence reflects Valladolid's own offensive limitations, having managed only two goals in five matches and remaining without an away victory this season.
