Racing Santander vs Valencia: Five Away Absences
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Racing Santander host Valencia in La Liga on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Estadio El Sardinero, where the home side remain unbeaten while the visitors sit bottom of the table.
Racing Santander remain unbeaten at Estadio El Sardinero
Racing Santander sit 16th in La Liga with seven points from seven matches, having earned their positive results on home ground. Across three league matches at Estadio El Sardinero, they have registered two wins and one draw, scoring seven goals and conceding five. Recent league outings show a sharp contrast between home and away form. The side suffered heavy away defeats on 16 September 2026 in a 7-2 loss at Barcelona and on 19 September 2026 in a 5-0 loss at Celta Vigo, yet secured consecutive home victories before that: 3-2 against Elche on 28 August 2026 and 2-1 against Alaves on 12 September 2026. Forward Yassir Zabiri leads the attack with six goals in all competitions, though defender Simon Eriksson remains doubtful due to injury. Racing Santander have created an average of 1.21 expected goals while conceding 2.77 across their last five matches with chance data.
Valencia arrive in 20th place with five confirmed injuries
Valencia sit 20th in La Liga with four points and a goal difference of minus nine after seven fixtures. They have managed four goals across those seven matches while conceding 13. Away from home, Valencia have one win and two losses in three league games, winning 1-0 at Alaves on 15 September 2026 but falling 3-1 at Deportivo La Coruna on 30 August 2026 and 1-0 at Sevilla on 11 September 2026. Their attacking output reflects an average of 0.87 expected goals created and 2.09 allowed across their last five recorded fixtures. Selection options are limited, with Diego López, Dimitri Foulquier, José Copete, Sergi Canós, and Umar Sadiq all ruled out through injury.
Our model leans towards a Racing Santander win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Racing Santander win. The home side's undefeated record at Estadio El Sardinero and the finishing of Yassir Zabiri support that assessment, whereas Valencia have lost four of their last five league games and arrive without five injured first-team players. However, Racing Santander's defensive record of 21 goals conceded in seven matches keeps the margin tight.
