Real Betis vs Osasuna

Real Betis face Osasuna in La Liga on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, defending a home record of three wins from three matches without conceding a goal.

Betis have won all three home games without conceding

Real Betis sit third in La Liga with 16 points from seven matches, having taken maximum points at Estadio de La Cartuja without letting in a goal. Their home record includes 1-0 victories against Real Madrid on 4 September 2026 and Getafe on 17 September 2026. Across their past five fixtures in all competitions, Betis have recorded four victories and a 1-1 draw away at Deportivo La Coruna on 20 September 2026, while creating 1.77 expected goals per game. Top scorer Marc Bartra has three goals this season, though he is doubtful with an injury alongside confirmed absences for Aitor Ruibal and Júnior Firpo.

Osasuna have conceded ten goals in three away matches

Osasuna occupy 14th place in the table with eight points, having conceded ten goals across their three away fixtures in La Liga. Those road games include a 5-2 defeat at Alaves on 6 September 2026 and a 4-0 loss at Atletico Madrid on 16 September 2026. While Ante Budimir leads their scoring charts with five goals this season in all competitions, Osasuna average 1.05 expected goals created per game against 1.71 allowed. The visitors travel with Raúl Moro and Romain Del Castillo sidelined by injury, while Enrique Barja and Jorge Herrando remain doubtful.

Real Betis hold a five-game unbeaten run in this fixture

Past encounters between these clubs favour the Seville side, who are unbeaten across their previous five meetings with Osasuna. Real Betis took four points from this fixture in the 2025/26 campaign, drawing 1-1 away on 12 April 2026 after winning 2-0 on 28 September 2025. That run also includes a 2-1 away victory on 19 October 2024 and a 2-0 win on 5 May 2024. Osasuna's only point across their last four matches in all competitions came in a 1-1 home draw with Rayo Vallecano on 19 September 2026.

Our model firmly expects a Real Betis win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Real Betis win. That call is backed by Betis having conceded zero goals in three home league matches, compared to Osasuna shipping ten goals in three away trips. Although doubts over Marc Bartra require caution in the home defence, Osasuna's four-game winless run and low expected goal output point towards a home victory.