Barcelona vs Getafe: Fourteen-Goal Raphinha Out

BarcelonaBAR

Anthony Gordon 2'
Gabriel Jesus 30'
Jules Koundé 73'

La Liga

3–0

Full Time

HT 2–0

Camp Nou

Barcelona

GetafeGET

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

Barcelona arrive on a seven-match winning run, averaging more than four goals a game and dominating possession with a high press that rarely lets opponents breathe. Getafe are a compact, physical side who will sit in a low block and try to drag the game into a scrappy duel, but they have failed to score in all three away matches this season and create very little. The big question for Barcelona is the absence of Raphinha, the league's top scorer, though the depth of chance creation across the front line softens that blow. If Barcelona score early, Getafe's limited attacking output makes a comeback hard to imagine.

Match ResultHome Win88%

Barcelona have won all seven league games, creating far more quality chances than anyone else, while Getafe have barely threatened away from home and have lost all three road matches. Raphinha's absence costs them their top scorer but not their overall superiority.

Win or DrawHome or Draw96%

Getafe have scored no goals in three away games and create very little, so avoiding defeat at Camp Nou would need a disciplined low block and a rare moment of luck. Barcelona not losing is the far safer expectation, and Getafe have not beaten them in the recent meetings.

Total Goals3 or more goals75%

Barcelona have gone past 2.5 goals in nine of their last ten and have scored 24 in their last five. Even a deep Getafe block is likely to be broken more than twice, so this should clear three goals.

Barcelona vs Getafe: Fourteen-Goal Raphinha Out

Published Fri 9 Oct

Barcelona face Getafe in La Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Camp Nou, carrying a flawless record of seven wins from seven league fixtures.

Barcelona score 31 goals but lose Raphinha

Barcelona sit top of the table with 21 points and a goal difference of +24, having scored 31 goals and conceded seven in seven league games. At Camp Nou in this competition, they have won all three fixtures, scoring 14 goals and allowing four. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Barcelona have created an average of 3.67 expected goals while allowing 1.24. Their recent run includes a 3-1 victory away to Sevilla on 19 September, a 7-2 home win against Racing Santander on 16 September, a 4-2 win at Levante on 13 September, a 5-1 home win over Feyenoord on 9 September, and a 5-0 win at Valencia on 6 September.

However, the home side must cope without Raphinha, who leads the club with 14 goals in all competitions this season but is sidelined with an injury. Barcelona are also missing Andreas Christensen, Frenkie de Jong, and Roony Bardghji through injury.

Getafe scoreless in three away matches

Getafe occupy 11th place with eight points from seven games, scoring four goals and conceding seven. Their away form has yielded zero points from three league fixtures, suffering three defeats with zero goals scored and five conceded. Across their last five matches with chance data, Getafe have averaged 0.64 expected goals created and 1.13 allowed.

Getafe enter following a 1-0 home win over Malaga on 20 September, which followed a 1-0 defeat at Real Betis on 17 September, 1-1 home draws against Deportivo La Coruna and Celta Vigo, and a 1-0 loss at Osasuna on 31 August. Top scorer Enes Ünal has three goals this season. Christantus Uche and Juanmi are ruled out through injury, while Abdelkabir Abqar is doubtful.

Four clean sheets in five head-to-head meetings

Barcelona have controlled this fixture in recent years, winning four of the past five encounters. The most recent meeting on 25 April 2026 finished in a 2-0 win for Barcelona at Getafe. Prior to that, Barcelona won 3-0 on 21 September 2025, drew 1-1 on 18 January 2025, won 1-0 on 25 September 2024, and won 4-0 on 24 February 2024, keeping clean sheets in four of those five games.

Our model firmly expects a Barcelona win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Barcelona win. The call reflects Barcelona's 100 percent home record and average of nearly five goals per game at Camp Nou, balanced against Getafe's inability to register an away goal this season, even with Raphinha sidelined.

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	27	24
14	Getafe	8	-6	8

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