Bulgaria vs Estonia

Bulgaria host Estonia in League C Matchday 2 of the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, with kickoff scheduled at Stadion Hristo Botev in Plovdiv. The 22,000-capacity venue stages the second fixture for both sides in Group 4, where Bulgaria are attempting to get off the mark following an opening-day loss and Estonia enter with one point already collected.

Bulgaria sit fourth after 1-2 defeat to Luxembourg

Bulgaria began their UEFA Nations League schedule on 26 September 2026 with a 1-2 defeat at home to Luxembourg. That loss places Bulgaria in fourth position out of four teams in League C Group 4 after one matchday, remaining on zero points with one goal scored and two conceded.

Their home record in the current competition stands at zero wins, zero draws, and one defeat across one match at Stadion Hristo Botev, leaving them with a goal difference of minus one. Neither squad reports any confirmed player absences heading into this Tuesday encounter, meaning the home side can field their full registered selection.

Estonia hold second place following 1-1 draw in Iceland

Estonia began their League C Group 4 campaign away from home on 26 September 2026, securing a 1-1 draw against Iceland. That result leaves Estonia second in the standings with one point from one fixture, having scored one goal and conceded one.

Their away record in this edition of the tournament matches that opening result: zero wins, one draw, and zero defeats from one trip. Facing a second consecutive away fixture in three days, Estonia travel to Plovdiv with no reported injuries or suspensions listed ahead of matchday two.

Our model expects a Bulgaria win

Our forecasting model expects a Bulgaria win on Tuesday. The assessment leans on home territory at Stadion Hristo Botev despite Bulgaria's 1-2 defeat against Luxembourg on 26 September 2026. Estonia took a 1-1 draw in Iceland on the same date to claim second place in Group 4, but our model still backs the home side to secure three points in Plovdiv.