Iceland vs Bulgaria: Hosts Top Group 4 Unbeaten
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Iceland host Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League C on Saturday, 3 October 2026, at Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavik. The home side enter the contest in first place in Group 4 with four points from two fixtures, whereas Bulgaria sit bottom of the section with one point.
Iceland hold top spot after three-goal win
Iceland moved to the top of Group 4 following a 3-0 away win against Luxembourg on 29 September 2026. That followed an opening 1-1 draw at home to Estonia on 26 September 2026, giving them four points and a goal difference of plus three. Across their two matches, Iceland have scored four goals and conceded one.
A. Guðjohnsen is Iceland's top scorer this season with two goals in all competitions. At Laugardalsvöllur, Iceland's home record in this competition stands at zero wins, one draw, and zero losses from one match, having scored once and conceded once.
Bulgaria sit bottom with one goal scored
Bulgaria travel to Reykjavik in fourth place in Group 4. They opened their campaign with a 2-1 defeat at home to Luxembourg on 26 September 2026, followed by a 0-0 draw at home against Estonia on 29 September 2026.
Those results leave Bulgaria with one point from two matches and a goal difference of minus one, with one goal scored and two conceded. Bulgaria have yet to play away from home in the section, having staged both of their opening rounds on home soil.
Our model firmly expects an Iceland win
Our forecasting model firmly expects an Iceland win. Iceland hold a three-point lead over Bulgaria after two rounds, having scored three unanswered goals in their last outing while Bulgaria recorded a scoreless draw against Estonia. With four goals scored to Bulgaria's one, Iceland carry the stronger record into Saturday's fixture at Laugardalsvöllur.

