Segunda División Matchweek 11 brings an 11-match programme from 23 October to 26 October 2026, headlined by early table movements at both ends of the standings. Top-ranked Almeria and second-placed Castellón look to tighten their grip on automatic promotion positions, while several struggling sides attempt to climb clear of the bottom four. The remaining projections appear on each match page the day before kickoff as team news settles.
The match of the round: Cordoba vs Eibar
Saturday's meeting between Cordoba and third-place Eibar offers one of the most contrasting tactical setups of the weekend. Cordoba have turned their home ground into a scoring haven in recent weeks. Without a single clean sheet across their last four matches on home soil, their fixtures have routinely descended into shootouts, with eight of their past ten league games overall generating three or more goals.
Eibar travel with the division's second-best away record, having won four of their five fixtures on the road while scoring at least twice in each of those four victories. However, they arrive without the suspended Adu Ares, while Sergio Álvarez remains doubtful with an injury. Cordoba also carry personnel issues in the attacking third, missing Adilson, Jacobo Marti and Kevin Medina through injury, though top scorer Percan remains available after scoring three times this season.
Despite Eibar's strong away record and superior league position, our model leans cautiously towards a Cordoba win, though confidence in that match result is low. The stronger patterns emerge in the goals calls, where the model shows medium confidence in both teams to score and more than 2.5 goals in the match. As a speculative low-confidence call, the projection points towards a 2-1 victory for the home side.
Friday
Granada CF vs Valladolid
Matchweek 11 begins on Friday with seventh-placed Granada hosting thirteenth-placed Valladolid. Granada enter on a three-match winning run, most recently beating Cadiz 2-0, with their sole home loss this term coming against top-end opposition. Valladolid have found travel difficult, failing to win an away league match this season and arriving without the injured Guille Bueno and Juanmi Latasa, as well as the suspended Víctor Fernández. Our model projects a Granada CF win, though confidence remains low. It also projects Granada to score the opening goal with medium confidence, while anticipating fewer than 2.5 goals in the match as another low-confidence projection.
Saturday
Leganes vs Mallorca
Leganes sit 17th after suffering three consecutive defeats without scoring a single goal, falling 1-0 to Cordoba, 3-0 to Almeria and 4-0 to Cadiz. They must manage without the suspended Álvaro Morata and the injured Marcos Leiva. Sixth-place Mallorca arrive unbeaten in their last three, including a 1-1 draw at Eibar, with leading scorer Fuentes already tallying six goals this season.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II
Fifth-placed Girona are unbeaten in three matches after a 2-0 home win over FC Andorra, conceding just nine goals across ten rounds. Celta de Vigo II sit 14th and drew 1-1 against Tenerife last time out, though they carry absences in attack with Anxo Rodriguez and Bernard Somuah ruled out through injury.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
Las Palmas enter 16th in the table following back-to-back losses, conceding six goals across defeats against Castellón and Mallorca. They face a Real Sociedad II side in 19th that has lost three consecutive games, conceding 11 times in that span, including a 4-2 defeat to league leaders Almeria.
Almeria vs Oviedo
League leaders Almeria have scored 20 goals in ten matches and put together three consecutive victories, led in attack by Miguel de la Fuente's six goals. Ninth-placed Oviedo arrive having won two straight games against AD Ceuta FC and Eibar, but they will be missing top scorer Carlos Domínguez through suspension.
Sunday
Sabadell vs Tenerife
Tenth-placed Sabadell suffered a 1-0 defeat at Burgos last weekend and will be without injured forward Nicholas Gioacchini, who leads the club with three goals. Twelfth-placed Tenerife have drawn two consecutive league matches 1-1 against Celta de Vigo II and Girona, leaning on top scorer Enric Gallego, who has six goals this season.
Albacete vs Eldense
Bottom-placed Albacete have collected just one point from ten matches, conceding 22 goals and losing three straight games to Sporting Gijon, Valladolid and Eibar. They host an Eldense squad in 11th that has won three straight matches, scoring nine goals across victories against Valladolid, Cordoba and Oviedo.
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz sit 20th after back-to-back defeats to nil against Granada and Sporting Gijon, scoring 11 goals through ten rounds. AD Ceuta FC are one spot behind in 21st with five points, having conceded 22 times this season and dropping consecutive 2-1 decisions to Oviedo and Sabadell.
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon
Second-placed Castellón have conceded only four goals all season and rebounded from a narrow loss to FC Andorra by winning 3-0 away at Las Palmas. Fourth-placed Sporting Gijon travel with three straight victories behind them, but they enter without top scorer Antonio Casas and forward Konrad de la Fuente due to injuries.
Monday
FC Andorra vs Burgos
The round concludes on Monday when 18th-placed FC Andorra host eighth-placed Burgos. FC Andorra fell 2-0 at Girona last weekend but won their previous home outing 1-0 against Castellón. Burgos sit on 17 points and broke a two-game skid by defeating Sabadell 1-0 last Sunday behind a defensive effort that has yielded only ten goals conceded all campaign.
With just five points separating first place from fifth, Matchweek 11 could alter the summit of the Segunda División, especially if Almeria or Castellón slip against in-form opponents. At the lower end, the meeting between Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC gives one struggling side room to build safety, while Albacete need a turnaround before the drop zone widens.
