Segunda División Matchweek 10 runs from Friday 16 October through Monday 19 October 2026, featuring 11 fixtures across four days of action. The dominant narrative of the round centres on the sharp divide between the promotion contenders setting the early pace and the cluster of clubs already drifting towards trouble at the foot of the 22-team table. Model forecasts are currently available for the earliest kickoffs of the weekend; the remaining calls appear on each match page the day before kickoff.
The match of the round: Real Sociedad II vs Almeria
League leaders Almeria head into Saturday's clash on a sequence of five straight league victories, built upon the division's meanest defensive record having conceded only five goals in nine outings. Their attacking metrics are similarly robust, led by five-goal forward Miguel de la Fuente, and the analytics model credits them with a clear superiority in chance quality over their hosts. Even with Gui Guedes and Rodrigo Ely ruled out through injury and Mikel Vesga doubtful, Almeria possess sufficient depth to manage the trip.
Real Sociedad II sit 19th with eight points from nine games, having suffered three successive defeats while conceding 10 goals in that stretch. The young Basque side generate reasonable threat through their creative midfield positions, but their defensive structure has been vulnerable throughout the campaign, repeatedly conceding high volumes of shots. The model projects an Almeria win with medium confidence, and leans toward both teams scoring given the home team's attacking capability.
Match-by-match
Matchweek 10 opens on Friday evening as 16th-placed Leganes host 18th-placed Cordoba in a meeting between two sides stuck in the bottom third. Leganes have struggled in front of goal, scoring only six times in nine matches and failing to find the net in their past three fixtures, whilst missing suspended defender Marvel and the injured Marcos Leiva. Cordoba have leaked 20 goals already this term, and with Adilson and Jacobo Marti sidelined, our model leans towards a Leganes home win in a cautious, low-confidence call. A 2-1 home scoreline is the speculative projection here, though exact scores carry inherently low confidence.
Saturday's schedule continues with second-placed Eibar hosting fourth-placed Mallorca. Eibar have scored 19 goals this season—the highest tally in the division—and sit level with the leaders on 21 points, while Mallorca travel without injured trio Antoniu Roca, Jan Salas and Manu Morlanes after conceding only four times across nine games.
Sporting Gijon enter their home fixture against Albacete sitting sixth on 16 points after back-to-back league wins. They must cope without injured attackers Antonio Casas, Juan Otero and Konrad de la Fuente, though Albacete arrive at the foot of the table in 22nd with a solitary point and a minus-15 goal difference after losing 5-0 at Valladolid.
Saturday concludes as Las Palmas face third-placed Castellón. Las Palmas are winless in three matches and sit 15th with Ale García, Enrique Clemente and Jeremía Recoba all injured, while Castellón look to steady themselves following a 1-0 defeat away at FC Andorra.
Sunday begins with 21st-placed AD Ceuta FC meeting Oviedo. Ceuta have taken five points from nine matches and miss Kenneth Obinna Mamah, whereas ninth-placed Oviedo arrive fresh from a 3-1 win over Eibar despite injuries to Alexandru Ișfan, Carlos Fernández and Christopher Ramos.
Granada CF then host Cadiz following consecutive victories over Real Sociedad II and Burgos that lifted them into 10th place. Cadiz sit 20th after a 1-0 home loss to Sporting Gijon and travel without injured pair Gonzalo Petit and Iuri Tabatadze.
Two fixtures kick off simultaneously later on Sunday afternoon. Seventh-placed Girona host 17th-placed FC Andorra, with the hosts checking the fitness of Cristhian Stuani, Jastin García and Paulo Gazzaniga. At the same time, 11th-placed Valladolid take on 14th-placed Eldense, who have won two matches in succession including a 2-1 win over Cordoba.
Sunday's final fixture pits eighth-placed Burgos against fifth-placed Sabadell. Burgos have suffered consecutive defeats to Almeria and Granada, whereas Sabadell are unbeaten in three matches, though they must manage without suspended midfielder Edgar González and injured forward Nicholas Gioacchini.
The round finishes on Monday evening when 13th-placed Celta de Vigo II, led by five-goal forward Álvaro Marín after a 4-1 win over Real Sociedad II, host 12th-placed Tenerife, whose top scorer Enric Gallego has found the net six times this season.
With just four points separating first place from fifth, Matchweek 10 has the capacity to realign the promotion positions, particularly as Eibar and Mallorca collide while Almeria attempt to protect their position at the summit.
