The Scottish Premiership enters Matchweek 12 with six scheduled fixtures across the weekend and later November dates, running from 31 October to 24 November 2026. Celtic hold the summit with 28 points from 11 games, but the chasing pack remains close behind, while the bottom of the table sees multiple clubs searching for stability. Note that model forecasts are generated the day before each kickoff, meaning calls for later fixtures appear on their respective match pages closer to matchday.
The match of the round: Falkirk vs Celtic
Sunday's meeting between sixth-placed Falkirk and league leaders Celtic is the standout fixture of the weekend schedule. Falkirk arrive in fine form having won three consecutive league matches, most recently securing a 1-0 win away at Aberdeen following victories over Kilmarnock (3-0) and Hibernian (2-1). That streak has lifted them to 15 points, though they must cope without injured trio Aidan Nesbitt, Aodhan Doherty, and Ethan Laidlaw.
Celtic sit clear at the top with a +19 goal difference, led by forward Camilo Durán who has 10 goals in all competitions this term. However, the champions showed vulnerability in midweek when held to a 2-2 home draw by Dundee United, shortly after a 2-1 defeat to Celta Vigo in Europe. Celtic will also travel without injured defenders Alistair Johnston and Yang Hyun-Jun, making this a test of defensive resilience against a Falkirk attack led by Jacob Murrell.
Saturday
Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian This fixture has been called off. Fifth-placed Dundee United entered on the back of a 2-2 draw at Celtic and a 3-2 victory over Aberdeen, with Zachary Sapsford leading their scoring charts. Third-placed Hearts, who sit on 20 points, drew 2-2 with Rangers on Wednesday and are led by Calvin Miller's six goals.
Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone Bottom club Kilmarnock host eighth-placed St Johnstone searching for stability. Neil McCann's side sit on eight points with a league-worst goal difference of -15, having suffered consecutive away defeats at Dundee (3-1) and Falkirk (3-0). The absence of first-choice goalkeeper Maksymilian Stryjek compounds their defensive concerns. St Johnstone have managed just one win in five, drawing 2-2 with Motherwell in midweek. Our model leans towards a narrow home win with low confidence, while projecting both teams to score and more than 2.5 total goals with medium confidence. In its exact-scoreline forecast, the model tentatively projects a 2-1 victory for Kilmarnock, though that is inherently a low-confidence call.
Motherwell vs St Mirren Tenth-placed Motherwell face seventh-placed St Mirren at Fir Park. The hosts halted a slide with a 2-2 draw at St Johnstone, but they remain without a clean sheet in seven matches and miss Callum Hendry, Dylan Williams, and Paul McGinn. St Mirren have lost three of five on the road and played out a 1-1 draw with Hibernian on Wednesday. Our model gives a medium-confidence forecast for a Motherwell win, expecting both sides to find the net and projecting more than 2.5 goals.
Later fixtures
Hibernian vs Dundee Scheduled for 24 November, this meeting pairs 11th-placed Hibernian against fourth-placed Dundee. Hibernian have collected eight points from 11 matches and drew 1-1 at St Mirren last time out. Dundee boast 17 points and returned to winning ways on Wednesday with a 3-1 victory over Kilmarnock, powered by four-goal striker Bradley Fink.
Rangers vs Aberdeen Also set for 24 November, second-placed Rangers take on ninth-placed Aberdeen. Rangers sit on 24 points after drawing 2-2 at Tynecastle, with Ryan Don Naderi topping their scoring charts on six goals. Aberdeen have lost consecutive games against Dundee United and Falkirk, leaving them on 11 points.
Matchweek 12 gives Celtic an opportunity to extend their cushion at the top, though a trip to in-form Falkirk offers no guarantees. At the other end, positive outcomes for Kilmarnock or Motherwell could tighten the relegation battle significantly.
