Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman

Aldosivi face Atletico Tucuman in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, 21 September 2026 at José María Minella in Buenos Aires, where defensive solidity meets a back line that has leaked goals throughout recent weeks.

Aldosivi allow 1.78 expected goals a game

Aldosivi enter Matchweek 10 after a 4-3 defeat away at Independiente Rivadavia on 12 September 2026. That high-scoring loss followed a 3-1 home win against Banfield on 5 September 2026, but defensive issues have remained constant. Over their last five fixtures with chance metrics, Aldosivi have allowed an average of 1.78 expected goals per game while generating 1.07.

Earlier results include a 2-1 defeat at Argentinos Juniors on 30 August 2026 and a 3-1 home loss to Union Santa Fe on 21 August 2026, alongside a goalless draw against Tigre on 15 August 2026. In attack, Andrés Vombergar leads the club with four goals across all competitions this season, but his output has regularly been offset by concessions at the other end.

Atletico Tucuman tighten up on the road

Atletico Tucuman suffered a 2-1 home defeat to River Plate on 12 September 2026, but their away form tells a different story. In their previous two road trips, they claimed a 2-1 win at Racing Club on 7 September 2026 and a 1-0 victory at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on 17 August 2026.

The visitors have restricted opponents to just 0.74 expected goals per game over their last five outings with data, while creating 0.81 at the other end. That disciplined approach produced consecutive 0-0 draws on home soil against Belgrano Cordoba on 30 August 2026 and Instituto Cordoba on 22 August 2026. In attack, Leandro Díaz provides the primary cutting edge, having scored seven goals across all competitions this season.

A 1-1 draw in their previous meeting

The two clubs met earlier in the year on 12 March 2026, finishing level at 1-1 at Atletico Tucuman. With neither side reporting absences heading into Monday, both squads arrive at full strength.

Our model leans narrowly towards an Atletico Tucuman win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards an Atletico Tucuman win. The call reflects the visitors' ability to restrict opposing chances to 0.74 expected goals a game and their back-to-back league wins away from home, contrasted with Aldosivi's concession of seven goals across their last two outings.