Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central

Atletico Tucuman meet Barracas Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro in San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán, with the hosts still seeking their first home victory in Clausura Group B.

Atletico Tucuman are winless in five home matches

Atletico Tucuman enter Matchweek 11 in ninth place in Clausura Group B with 13 points from 10 games, having scored seven goals and conceded six. At the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, they have recorded zero wins, three draws, and two losses across five league games, scoring twice and conceding four. Their two most recent home fixtures produced a 0-0 draw against Belgrano Cordoba on 30 August 2026 and a 1-2 defeat to River Plate on 12 September 2026. Striker Leandro Díaz leads the club with seven goals across all competitions this season, but the side arrives following consecutive league losses, most recently falling 0-1 away to Aldosivi on 21 September 2026.

Barracas Central are winless in five matches

Barracas Central sit 11th in the group table on 12 points from 10 matches, having scored five goals and conceded seven. While they have gone five consecutive league games without a victory, their away record remains resilient. On the road in this competition, Barracas Central have posted two wins, two draws, and one defeat from five matches, scoring three goals and conceding three. They drew 0-0 at Tigre on 1 September 2026 and 1-1 at Banfield on 14 September 2026, before losing 0-1 at home to Independiente Rivadavia on 21 September 2026. Top scorer Iván Tapia has three goals this season in all competitions.

Barracas Central won the last meeting 2-1

The previous encounter between the two clubs came on 16 March 2026, when Barracas Central claimed a 2-1 victory over Atletico Tucuman. Prior to that result, Atletico Tucuman won 2-0 away on 29 July 2024, following a 1-1 draw at this venue on 19 March 2023. Over their last five fixtures with chance data, Atletico Tucuman have generated an average of 0.88 expected goals while conceding 0.89. Barracas Central have averaged 0.81 expected goals created and 0.97 allowed across their corresponding five-match sample.

Our model expects an Atletico Tucuman win

Our model expects an Atletico Tucuman win on Saturday. Although Atletico Tucuman have not won at home in five Clausura matches, Barracas Central have scored only five goals across 10 group fixtures and average just 0.81 expected goals created over their past five games. With Leandro Díaz having scored seven goals this season and Barracas Central entering on a five-match winless run, the underlying data favours the home side securing all three points.