Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe: Unbeaten Home Form

Boca JuniorsBOC

Lautaro Di Lollo 22'
Leonel Flores 83', 90+2'

Liga Profesional Argentina

3–0

Full Time

HT 1–0

Estadio Mâs Monumental

Buenos Aires

Union Santa FeUNI

AI ForecastsGraded

Boca Juniors arrive at the Monumental on a nine-match unbeaten run and have looked near immaculate at home, shipping only two goals in four Clausura outings here. Union Santa Fe threaten through the league's joint-third top scorer but travel with a porous defence that has…

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3.02xG0.17

69%Possession31%

Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe: Unbeaten Home Form

Published Fri 2 Oct

Boca Juniors meet Union Santa Fe in Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura Matchweek 11 on Saturday 3 October 2026 at Estadio Mâs Monumental in Buenos Aires, with the hosts defending an undefeated home record in the competition.

Three consecutive 1-1 draws between the clubs

Recent meetings between these two sides have been remarkably tight, finishing level in four of their last five encounters. The most recent clash ended 1-1 on 16 March 2026, repeating the exact 1-1 scoreline recorded on 18 July 2025 and 29 January 2025. Prior to those draws, Boca Juniors claimed a 1-0 win on 21 November 2024, following a 0-0 draw on 6 July 2023. Union Santa Fe have not defeated Boca Juniors across any of these five fixtures.

Boca Juniors undefeated at home in Clausura

Boca Juniors sit fifth in Clausura Group A with 17 points from 10 matches, having recorded a goal difference of +3 with 14 scored and 11 conceded. At home, they have won three and drawn one of their four league games, scoring six times while conceding only twice. They enter this fixture without a loss in their last five league matches, including a 2-0 away victory at San Lorenzo on 20 September 2026 and a 3-1 home win against Central Cordoba de Santiago on 12 September 2026. Striker Miguel Merentiel leads their scoring charts with seven goals across all competitions this season, and the side has generated 1.64 expected goals per game over their last five matches with chance data while allowing 1.05.

Union Santa Fe struggle away from Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe enter Matchweek 11 in ninth place in Group A with 13 points from 10 games, holding a +1 goal difference from 17 goals scored and 16 conceded. While forward Cristian Tarragona has produced 14 goals in all competitions this season, the squad arrives following two consecutive 1-2 losses, falling at home to Independiente on 19 September 2026 and away at Talleres Cordoba on 12 September 2026. On the road in this competition, Union Santa Fe have won one, drawn one, and lost three of their five fixtures, conceding eight goals and scoring six.

Our model expects a Boca Juniors win

Our forecasting model expects a Boca Juniors win with medium confidence. That assessment is supported by Boca Juniors taking 10 points from 12 at home in this competition alongside Union Santa Fe losing three of their five away games. However, three straight 1-1 draws in head-to-head meetings show that Union Santa Fe routinely restrict Boca Juniors' attack.

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