Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus face Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, 12 October 2026 at Ciudad de Lanús in Buenos Aires, with the visitors missing their leading scorer.

Velez Sarsfield missing top scorer Manuel Lanzini

Velez Sarsfield sit fourth in Clausura - Group A with 21 points from 11 matches, but travel without Manuel Lanzini due to injury. Lanzini leads the club with six goals this season in all competitions. The visitors also miss defender Emanuel Mammana and Matías Pellegrini through injury.

Velez Sarsfield remain undefeated away from home in this competition, posting one win and four draws from five away trips while scoring eight goals and conceding six. Their defensive numbers show vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.53 expected goals per game across their last five fixtures with chance data while generating 1.21. In their latest league match on 5 October 2026, they drew 2-2 at home against Platense following a 3-2 win over Tigre on 21 September 2026.

Lanus arrive on a four-game unbeaten streak

Lanus hold fifth spot in Clausura - Group A with 17 points from 11 matches, trailing Velez Sarsfield by four points. The home side have avoided defeat in their last four league games, starting with a 1-0 win against Defensa y Justicia on 6 September 2026, followed by a 3-0 victory at Deportivo Riestra and a 2-1 win over Estudiantes L.P., before drawing 0-0 away at Newells Old Boys on 3 October 2026.

Dylan Aquino provides the primary attacking threat for Lanus with six goals across all competitions this season. However, Lanus deal with their own squad issues, as Felipe Peña Biafore, Luciano Romero, and Ramiro Carrera are all sidelined by injury. At Ciudad de Lanús, the home record stands at three wins, one draw, and two defeats in six matches, scoring six goals and conceding six. In head-to-head encounters, Lanus won the most recent fixture 1-0 away on 21 March 2026.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Lanus win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Lanus win. Lanus have conceded only one goal across their past four matches and retain Dylan Aquino in attack, while Velez Sarsfield must operate without Manuel Lanzini. Nevertheless, Velez Sarsfield remain unbeaten away from home in the competition with five matches played, and Lanus have already lost two home games this season.