Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors

Instituto Cordoba face Boca Juniors in Liga Profesional Argentina Clausura Matchweek 12 on Friday, 9 October 2026 at Estadio Presidente Peron in Cordoba, entering the fixture at the top of Clausura Group A.

Instituto Cordoba boast five wins from five at Estadio Presidente Peron

Instituto Cordoba sit first of 15 teams in Clausura - Group A with 25 points from 11 games, holding a goal difference of +9 having scored 17 and conceded eight. In this competition at Estadio Presidente Peron, the hosts have won all five of their home fixtures, scoring nine goals and conceding three. Their recent sequence includes four victories in five matches, most recently defeating Independiente 4-1 away on 2 October 2026, following a 3-1 home win over Talleres Cordoba on 20 September 2026 and a 2-1 victory against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on 15 September 2026. Their only defeat in this run came in a 3-2 loss away at Union Santa Fe on 8 September 2026. Top scorer Alex Luna leads their attack with seven goals in all competitions. In their last five matches with chance data, Instituto Cordoba created 1.10 expected goals a game while allowing 0.59. The home side enter without Jhon Córdoba and Luca Rafaelli, who are both ruled out through injury.

Boca Juniors carry seven injury concerns into Matchweek 12

Boca Juniors occupy fourth place in Clausura - Group A with 20 points from 11 games, scoring 17 and conceding 11. They travel with five players confirmed out through injury: Adam Bareiro, Agustín Marchesín, Alan Velasco, Tomás Aranda, and Tomás Belmonte. Camilo Rey Domenech and Rodrigo Andrés Battaglia are also listed as doubtful with injuries. Despite these squad limitations, Boca Juniors enter on a five-match unbeaten run in the league, claiming four wins and one draw. They secured a 3-0 home win over Union Santa Fe on 3 October 2026, a 2-0 away win against San Lorenzo on 20 September 2026, and a 3-1 home victory against Central Cordoba de Santiago on 12 September 2026. On the road in this competition, Boca Juniors have won one, drawn four, and lost one from six away games, scoring eight goals and allowing nine. Miguel Merentiel is their top scorer with seven goals across all competitions, spearheading an attack that has averaged 2.05 expected goals created per game over their last five matches with chance data, while allowing 0.83.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Boca Juniors win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Boca Juniors win. Supporting this forecast is Boca Juniors' attacking output, creating 2.05 expected goals a game compared to Instituto Cordoba's 1.10, alongside their recent 2-0 victory over Instituto Cordoba on 22 March 2026. However, Instituto Cordoba's flawless home record of five wins from five matches at Estadio Presidente Peron, combined with seven fitness issues across the Boca Juniors squad and an away record featuring just one victory in six league trips, make this meeting a tightly balanced contest.