Västerås SK are forced into reshuffling with three starters missing, but they welcome an Örgryte side that has been dreadful on the road — losing all four recent away matches without scoring while conceding heavily. The hosts’ 3-4-3 shape has been productive at home (2.0 goals per game), and even a depleted lineup should find joy against a defence that has shipped 19 goals in six away trips. Örgryte’s attacking threat is almost non-existent on their travels, so the key battle is whether Västerås can turn dominance into an early lead against a team low on confidence. All signs point towards a comfortable home victory, though the draw-heavy history between these sides tempers expectations slightly.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome WinCorrect
Despite missing starters, Västerås face the league’s worst away attack — Örgryte have failed to score in four straight road games and lost all of them, while the hosts average 2.0 goals at home.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeHome or DrawCorrect
Örgryte’s away form (1 win in 6, 0.5 goals per away game) makes an away win extremely unlikely; Västerås should at least avoid defeat at home.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type2 or fewer goalsCorrect
Five of the last six H2H meetings produced two goals or fewer, and with Örgryte failing to score away in four straight, the scoring load falls on a rotated Västerås side — a 2-0 or 1-0 looks more likely than an open contest.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
2.65xG0.69
57%Possession43%
15 (7)Shots (on target)13 (2)
5Big Chances Created0
Attacking Play
2.72xG on Target0.21
Possession & Passing
511 · 81%Passes (accuracy)376 · 75%
2Corners5
Duels & Pressing
52Duels Won48
15 (60%)Aerial Duels Won10 (40%)
Defending & Discipline
2Saves5
17Fouls13
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Vasteras SK FK
2.65xG
14 shots · 7 on target
Orgryte IS
0.69xG
13 shots · 2 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Axel TaonsaGoal
59' · Vasteras SK FK
20 / 27
xG
0.77
xGOT
0.99
Body part
Right foot
Situation
Open play
Key Moments
Match Events
13'⚽
T. Axel
Vasteras SK FK
21'
M. Parker
off: C. Styffe
Orgryte IS
Half Time
57'
J. Tibbling
off: D. Paulson
Orgryte IS
58'
A. Andreasson
off: W. Hofvander
Orgryte IS
59'⚽
T. Axel
Vasteras SK FK
65'
V. Wernersson
off: M. Keita
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
34
4
2
3
14
8
11
17
9
5
44
5
6
33
14
8
23
18
17
11
22
Orgryte IS