Degerfors are in freefall, winless in five and missing two defensive starters, while a heavily rotated lineup suggests manager Henok Goitom is still searching for answers. Djurgardens have been far more consistent going forward, and their strong away record is built on fast starts — they’ve scored 26% of their goals in the first 15 minutes. Degerfors’ home games have seen both teams score in 80% of recent matches, and with Djurgardens also making six changes, there could be space for the hosts to grab a goal, but the visitors’ class should ultimately decide a lively contest.
Match ResultMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeAway WinCorrect
Djurgardens are significantly stronger on paper, possess a far superior away record, and Degerfors have failed to win in five with only one home victory all season. Both sides are rotated, but Djurgardens' squad depth should comfortably bridge the gap.
Win or DrawHIGHHigh confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome typeAway or DrawCorrect
Degerfors have managed just one home win in seven attempts, and Djurgardens have lost only once on the road. A draw is a conceivable outcome given the widespread rotation, but the away side is unlikely to lose.
Total GoalsMEDMedium confidence, rated against other forecasts of the same outcome type3 or more goalsIncorrect
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
How Our Call Changed
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
The model reviewed this fixture and held every call unchanged.
Match StatsIncludes deeper match tracker data — pressing, ball progression and shot quality — alongside the standard boxscore. Coverage is limited to major competitions, and a specific match can still go unmatched.
Top Stats
0.93xG1.80
58%Possession42%
12 (0)Shots (on target)17 (7)
2Big Chances Created2
Attacking Play
0.00xG on Target1.58
Possession & Passing
526 · 83%Passes (accuracy)395 · 81%
6Corners6
Duels & Pressing
40Duels Won47
6 (29%)Aerial Duels Won15 (71%)
Defending & Discipline
6Saves1
7Fouls12
Shot MapEvery shot of the match, sized by chance quality (xG). Tap one to see where it went. Coverage is limited to major competitions.
Degerfors IF
0.93xG
12 shots · 0 on target
Djurgardens IF
1.80xG
18 shots · 7 on target
GoalSavedOff TargetBlockedWoodworkDot size = xG
Bo Åsulv HeglandGoal
43' · Djurgardens IF
12 / 30
xG
0.32
xGOT
0.64
Body part
Left foot
Situation
Open play
Key Moments
Match Events
29'
S. Ohlsson
Degerfors IF
43'⚽
B. Hegland
assist: K. Lien
Djurgardens IF
Half Time
58'
A. Taranis
off: R. Dzabic
Degerfors IF
65'
B. Hegland
Djurgardens IF
66'
J. Asoro
off: P. Aslund
Djurgardens IF
67'
N. Zugelj
Player RatingsPerformance rating out of 10 from the match data feed, covering every action a player took. The 5 best-rated from each side are shown; the star marks the highest rated on the pitch.
38
3
2
16
8
23
14
20
Djurgardens IF
Degerfors IF
