Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29: Doumbia Leads Away Attack
Updated
Auxerre host Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1 on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, seeking back-to-back home victories. Auxerre enter the fixture in 15th place after earning their first victory on 12 September 2026 with a 1-0 win over Nice, having conceded 11 goals across their opening four league fixtures.
Doumbia leads Stade Brestois 29 attack
Stade Brestois 29 sit 7th in the table with five points from four matches, producing 2.00 expected goals per game while allowing 1.25. Forward Kamory Doumbia has scored four goals this season in all competitions, leading an attack that has collected four points on the road. The visitors drew 2-2 at Le Mans on 22 August 2026 and claimed a 2-1 victory at Le Havre on 5 September 2026, though they arrive in Auxerre following a 1-0 home loss to Paris Saint Germain on 13 September 2026.
Stade Brestois 29 travel without captain B. Chardonnet due to injury. M. Diambou, N. Edjouma, and R. Cagnon are also ruled out through injury for the away side.
Auxerre manage five fitness concerns
Auxerre have had a difficult opening month, losing 5-2 at Lens on 22 August 2026, 3-1 at home to Angers on 29 August 2026, and 3-1 at Lyon on 4 September 2026 before edging Nice 1-0. The home side has allowed 2.51 expected goals per match over their first four games. Cameron Archer leads Auxerre with two goals in all competitions, but the squad faces multiple selection issues.
A. Diousse, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, and T. Siwe are all sidelined by injury, while S. Fofana remains doubtful. The hosts have balanced recent meetings against Stade Brestois 29, winning 3-0 in their last encounter on 21 March 2026 after suffering a 2-0 defeat on 4 January 2026.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Stade Brestois 29 win
Our model leans narrowly towards a Stade Brestois 29 win. The low-confidence call is supported by Stade Brestois 29 generating 2.00 expected goals per game and remaining unbeaten away from home this season, contrasted against an Auxerre backline that has conceded 11 goals in four league fixtures.

