Rennes vs Auxerre

Rennes host Auxerre in Ligue 1 on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Roazhon Park, with the visiting side travelling without seven squad members. While Rennes sit fifth in the table with 10 points from five games, Auxerre enter the fixture in 11th place having lost both of their away league matches this season.

Auxerre arrive with seven players unavailable

Christ Makosso serves a suspension, while Assane Dioussé, Bryan Okoh, Marvin Senaya, Rayan Mandengue, Sékou Fofana, and Telli Siwe are all sidelined through injury. These absences deplete an Auxerre side that has conceded eight goals in two away league matches, following a 5-2 loss at Lens on 22 August 2026 and a 3-1 defeat at Lyon on 4 September 2026. Top scorer Cameron Archer, who has scored three goals this season in all competitions, leads an attack that generates 1.30 expected goals per game while allowing 2.07 at the other end.

Rennes unbeaten across three home league matches

Rennes have collected seven points from their three Ligue 1 fixtures at Roazhon Park, recording a 3-2 victory over Le Mans on 30 August 2026 and a 1-0 win against Marseille on 11 September 2026. The home side report no confirmed absences, led in attack by Esteban Lepaul, who has scored three goals across all competitions. Although Rennes suffered a 4-0 defeat away at Lyon on 19 September 2026, they average 1.82 expected goals created per game in their recent fixtures.

Our model firmly expects a Rennes win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Rennes win. This call reflects Auxerre's record of zero points from two away fixtures in Ligue 1 alongside seven missing players, contrasted with Rennes' unbeaten return of two wins and one draw at Roazhon Park. Auxerre won their last two home league games—defeating Nice 1-0 on 12 September 2026 and Stade Brestois 29 2-1 on 20 September 2026—but their 2.07 expected goals allowed per match points to defensive issues that Rennes can target.