Nice vs Lille: Winless Hosts Face Flying Lille
Updated
Nice face Lille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Allianz Riviera, sitting 18th in the table after failing to win any of their first four league games.
Nice struggle for goals amid four injuries
Nice have scored just one goal in four Ligue 1 fixtures, collecting two points from two home draws against Lorient on 22 August 2026 and Le Mans on 5 September 2026. Their away outings produced defeats at Paris FC (3-0 on 30 August 2026) and Auxerre (1-0 on 12 September 2026). Over their last four matches with chance data, Nice have created 0.92 expected goals per game while conceding 1.66.
The home side must also manage four confirmed injury absences. A. Mendy, L. Abergel, M. Bombito and M. Sanson are all sidelined for the fixture.
Lille hold a perfect away record
Lille travel to Nice in second place with 10 points from four Ligue 1 matches, scoring seven and conceding twice. Their away record in the league stands at two wins from two matches without conceding, following a 2-0 victory at Angers on 23 August 2026 and a 1-0 win at Toulouse on 3 September 2026. Most recently in domestic action, Lille defeated Estac Troyes 2-0 on 13 September 2026, though they fell 3-2 at home to Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League five days prior.
Ayase Ueda leads Lille's scoring chart this season with two goals across all competitions. Lille enter the match without injured duo H. Igamane and T. Nianzou, while their underlying numbers show 1.24 expected goals created and 1.81 allowed over their last five matches.
Nice kept clean sheets in recent meetings
Despite their current domestic difficulties, Nice took four points from two Ligue 1 meetings with Lille last season. Nice secured a 2-0 home victory on 29 October 2025 before the sides played out a 0-0 draw on 18 April 2026, meaning Lille have not scored against Nice in their last two encounters.
Our model expects a Lille win
Our model expects a Lille win with medium confidence. Lille's two away shutouts and Nice's return of a single goal across four league matches support the call, even though Nice held the upper hand in their head-to-head fixtures last season.

