Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Chelsea face Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Stamford Bridge in London, where the home side contend with seven injured players.

Chelsea have conceded 12 goals in five matches

Chelsea sit 10th in the Premier League table with 7 points from 5 games, having scored 10 goals and conceded 12 for a goal difference of -2. Their most recent outing was an away loss, 0-3 against Brentford on 18 September 2026, following a 2-2 home draw against Hull City on 12 September 2026. Across their last five matches with chance data, Chelsea have created 1.50 expected goals per game while allowing 2.13. At Stamford Bridge in league play this season, Chelsea have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 defeats from 2 matches, scoring 6 and allowing 5.

Six Bournemouth players ruled out for trip

Bournemouth enter the fixture in 17th place with 3 points from 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Six players are confirmed out through injury: Alex Scott, Amine Adli, Julián Araujo, Junior Kroupi, Justin Kluivert, and Veljko Milosavljević, while David Brooks is doubtful. In their away league fixtures, Bournemouth have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat from 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their last league game ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Liverpool on 20 September 2026, after a 2-2 home draw with Brentford on 12 September 2026. Top scorer R. Christie has scored 3 goals this season across all competitions. Across their last five matches with chance data, Bournemouth have created 1.47 expected goals and allowed 0.93.

Seven Chelsea players carrying fitness concerns

Jamie Gittens is confirmed out with an injury, leaving Chelsea short on the wing. Six other Chelsea players are doubtful: top scorer Cole Palmer, who has scored 4 goals in all competitions this season, João Pedro, Moisés Caicedo, Reece James, Marco Palestra, and Emanuel Emegha. The previous head-to-head meetings between these teams have frequently ended level. The two sides drew 2-2 on 30 December 2025 and 0-0 on 6 December 2025, following another 2-2 draw on 14 January 2025. Chelsea previously won 1-0 on 14 September 2024 and 2-1 on 19 May 2024.

Our model expects a Chelsea win

Our forecasting model expects a Chelsea win. Stamford Bridge has yielded 1 win and 1 draw for Chelsea in league play this season, while Bournemouth remain winless on the road in the competition. However, Chelsea allow 2.13 expected goals per game, and the doubtful status of Cole Palmer alongside six other squad members adds uncertainty against a Bournemouth side that concede only 0.93 expected goals per match.