Hull City vs Everton

Hull City face Everton in the Premier League on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at MKM Stadium in Hull, with the home side managing a list of nine injury concerns.

Hull depleted by six confirmed absentees

Hull enter Matchweek 6 with Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Ilyas Ansah, Jack Butland, and Matt Targett all ruled out through injury. Elliot Stroud, Hidemasa Morita, and Tim Iroegbunam are also doubtful. The team sits 10th in the Premier League table with eight points from five fixtures, having scored six goals and conceded four. At MKM Stadium, Hull have taken one win and one draw from two league matches without conceding a goal, including a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa on 5 September 2026. Top scorer M. Belloumi leads their attack with two goals in all competitions, though Hull fell 2-1 against Newcastle in their last outing on 19 September 2026.

Everton generate superior chance numbers

Everton sit eighth in the table with nine points from five games, having scored six goals and conceded three. The visiting side enters this trip on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, recording 1-0 victories over Wolves in the League Cup on 16 September 2026 and Ipswich in the league on 19 September 2026. In their two away league games, Everton drew 1-1 against Bournemouth on 29 August 2026 and 0-0 against Tottenham on 12 September 2026. Top scorer Thierno Barry has scored two goals this season across all competitions. Across their last five matches with chance data, Everton have created 1.58 expected goals per match while allowing 1.02, compared to Hull's 1.00 created and 1.30 allowed. Everton monitor three doubtful players of their own in Christian Nørgaard, Merlin Röhl, and Vitaliy Mykolenko.

Our model expects an Everton win

Our model expects an Everton win in this fixture. The projection reflects Everton's five-match unbeaten run and an expected goal differential of 1.58 created to 1.02 allowed, set against Hull's six confirmed injuries and higher rate of chances conceded.