Arsenal vs Leeds: 9-0 Across Past Two Meetings
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Arsenal host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Emirates Stadium in London, having won the last two meetings between the clubs by an aggregate score of 9-0.
Arsenal hold a 9-0 margin from recent meetings
Recent head-to-head encounters have belonged entirely to Arsenal. The sides met twice in the 2025-26 campaign, with Arsenal earning a 5-0 victory on 23 August 2025 and a 4-0 away win on 31 January 2026. Arsenal also maintain a clean record on home soil in the Premier League this season, winning both matches while scoring five goals and conceding once.
The home side must regroup after a 0-3 away loss to Brighton on 19 September 2026. Even with that defeat, Arsenal hold second place in the table with 12 points from five games and eight goals scored. Leeds enter the weekend fifth in the table on nine points from five games with a plus-four goal difference. Their last fixture finished in a 0-0 draw at home against Crystal Palace on 20 September 2026, though they remain unbeaten away from home in league action with one win and one draw from two outings.
Seven Arsenal players face fitness doubts
Squad availability will shape both starting lineups at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal are confirmed to be without defender William Saliba and winger Christos Tzolis. Five other first-team figures are doubtful due to injury: Ben White, Ezri Konsa, Kai Havertz, Max Dowman, and Piero Hincapié. Bukayo Saka remains Arsenal's primary scoring threat, leading the squad with three goals across all competitions.
Leeds arrive with personnel concerns of their own. Centre-back Joe Rodon and forward Mateo Joseph are ruled out with injuries, while Harry Wilson and Jean-Mattéo Bahoya remain doubtful. Dominic Calvert-Lewin carries the scoring load for Leeds, matching Saka with three goals in all competitions this season.
Our model firmly expects an Arsenal win
Our model firmly expects an Arsenal win. Chance creation figures back that assessment: over their last five matches with chance data, Arsenal have produced 2.13 expected goals per game while conceding 0.88. Leeds generate 2.00 expected goals per game but surrender 1.55.
Although Leeds have avoided defeat on the road in the league, Arsenal's perfect home record and their dominant 9-0 aggregate across the past two fixtures align with the model's call.
