Standard Liege vs Charleroi: Charleroi's Perfect Away Run
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Standard Liege host Charleroi in Matchweek 8 of the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Maurice Dufrasnestadion, with the visitors carrying a faultless away record this campaign.
Charleroi boast three straight away victories
Charleroi sit fourth in the table with 18 points from seven matches, posting a goal difference of +8 after scoring 15 and conceding seven. On their travels in the competition, they have collected maximum points across three games, winning three times while scoring five goals and conceding just once.
The visitors arrive having won 3-2 against Cercle Brugge on 19 September 2026, which followed a 1-0 away victory at Zulte Waregem on 13 September 2026. Across their last five fixtures, which also include a 3-1 away win at Kortrijk and a 2-0 home victory against KV Mechelen alongside a 2-3 loss to Union St. Gilloise, their underlying numbers remain solid. Charleroi average 1.89 expected goals created and 1.10 allowed over their last five matches with chance data. Leading scorer Aurélien Scheidler has three goals this season in all competitions, while Antoine Bernier is the only confirmed absentee due to injury.
Standard Liege face four injuries after consecutive defeats
Standard Liege occupy seventh place with 11 points from seven matches, having scored 13 and conceded 12. Their recent form slipped with consecutive away losses: 1-2 at Gent on 18 September 2026 and 2-4 at KVC Westerlo on 12 September 2026.
At Maurice Dufrasnestadion, however, Standard Liege remain unbeaten this season with two wins and one draw from three games, scoring five goals and conceding two. Top scorer Dennis Eckert Ayensa has registered four goals across all competitions. Even so, the home side enters the match depleted by injury in the squad, with Dimitri Lavalée, Gustav Mortensen, Josué Homawoo, and Mohamed El Hankouri all ruled out. In their last five matches with data, Standard Liege created 1.75 expected goals a game while conceding 1.36.
Charleroi hold three wins in the last five meetings
Meetings between these two clubs have produced decisive results. Charleroi took three of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory at Maurice Dufrasnestadion on 23 May 2026 and a 2-0 win on their own turf on 18 January 2026. Standard Liege earned a 2-1 away win on 18 April 2026 and a 3-1 home win on 31 October 2025, but they also suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Charleroi on 4 May 2025.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Charleroi win
Our model leans narrowly towards a Charleroi win. Charleroi hold the upper hand in recent encounters, post a superior expected goal differential of 1.89 to 1.10, and have won all three away league fixtures this season. Standard Liege's four confirmed absences compound those advantages, though their undefeated home record of two wins and one draw keeps the margin close.

