Galatasaray vs Barcelona: Raphinha Out for Visitors
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Galatasaray host Barcelona in UEFA Champions League League Stage Matchweek 2 on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at RAMS Park in İstanbul, with the away side arriving on a five-match winning streak across all competitions.
Barcelona score 22 goals across five straight wins
The Spanish side sit third in the UEFA Champions League table after an opening 5-1 victory over Feyenoord on 9 September 2026. Across their last five fixtures, Barcelona have scored 22 goals, including a 7-2 win against Racing Santander on 16 September 2026 and a 4-2 victory away at Levante on 13 September 2026. They followed those performances with a 3-1 away win at Sevilla on 19 September 2026 and a 3-0 home success against Getafe on 10 October 2026. Over their last five outings with chance data, Barcelona have averaged 3.24 expected goals created and 1.14 conceded per match.
Raphinha sidelined alongside three teammates
Despite that scoring return, Barcelona travel without four players. Top scorer Raphinha, who has scored 14 goals in all competitions this season, is sidelined with an injury. The visiting side are also missing Andreas Christensen, Frenkie de Jong, and Roony Bardghji through injury. For Galatasaray, suspension rules out Lesley Ugochukwu, while defender Wilfried Singo misses out with an injury of his own.
Victor Osimhen leads Galatasaray after opening defeat
Galatasaray sit 29th in the standings after opening their European campaign with a 3-1 defeat away at Sporting CP on 9 September 2026. The Turkish side responded domestically, defeating Kocaelispor 1-0 on 13 September 2026 before suffering a 4-0 loss at Trabzonspor on 19 September 2026. They recovered to beat Kasımpaşa 3-1 at home on 9 October 2026. Top scorer Victor Osimhen has recorded six goals in all competitions this season, spearheading an attack that averages 1.78 expected goals created against 1.41 allowed over their last five matches with chance data.
Our model firmly expects a Barcelona win
Our model firmly expects a Barcelona win at RAMS Park. Barcelona hold strong underlying numbers with 3.24 expected goals created per game and five consecutive victories, even with Raphinha, Christensen, De Jong, and Bardghji unavailable. While Galatasaray have Victor Osimhen leading the line and home advantage in İstanbul, their 1.41 expected goals conceded per game and the suspension of Lesley Ugochukwu leave them facing a stern test against the competition's third-placed team.

