Real Betis vs FC Porto: Betis Unbeaten in Five
Published
Real Betis face FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Estadio de La Cartuja in Sevilla, with the Spanish club unbeaten across their last five fixtures.
Real Betis average 2.14 expected goals per game
Real Betis entered this contest on the back of a 5-2 home win against Osasuna on 11 October 2026 in La Liga, following a 1-1 draw away at Deportivo La Coruna on 20 September and a 1-0 win over Getafe on 17 September. In European action, Betis opened Matchweek 1 with a 3-2 victory away at Lille on 8 September, placing them 12th in the Champions League standings with three points and a goal difference of plus one.
Their attacking metrics reflect that output. Over their last five games with chance data, Betis created an average of 2.14 expected goals per match while conceding 1.37. Marc Bartra leads the squad with three goals across all competitions this season. Betis must adapt to two confirmed defensive absences, with Aitor Ruibal and Júnior Firpo ruled out through injury.
FC Porto arrive missing four injured players
FC Porto travel to Sevilla without João Costa, Vasco Sousa, William Gomes, and Zaidu Sanusi, who are all sidelined with injuries. Porto occupy 29th place in the 36-team Champions League table after losing 0-2 at home to Manchester City on 8 September 2026 in their tournament opener.
In domestic competition, Porto have maintained winning form. They defeated Maritimo 2-1 on 10 October, overcame Benfica 3-1 on 20 September, and beat Casa Pia 4-1 on 12 September. Gabri Veiga stands as Porto's leading scorer this season with four goals in all competitions. Across their last five matches with data, Porto generated 1.90 expected goals per game while allowing 1.17.
Our model expects a Real Betis win
Our forecasting model expects a Real Betis win at Estadio de La Cartuja. Real Betis carry home advantage and strong offensive output, creating 2.14 expected goals per game and netting five goals against Osasuna in their most recent fixture. While Porto have four victories from their last five matches domestically, their opening European defeat to Manchester City and four confirmed squad absences tilt the match in favor of the hosts.

