Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: Visitors Unbeaten in Five

Casa PiaCAS

Sent off:David Sousa 52'

Primeira Liga

0–1

Full Time

HT 0–0

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Rio Maior

Santa ClaraSAN

Vasconcelos 90+2'

AI ForecastsGraded

Casa Pia have struggled badly in the early weeks, conceding sixteen in seven league games and scoring just three, including a 0-7 home defeat. Santa Clara arrive unbeaten in seven, with the league's best defensive record in terms of clean sheets and a striker in Gonçalo…

Match ResultAway Win51%

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Key facts

Casa Pia have scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches
Lawrence Ofori has created the most big chances for Casa Pia this season (2)
Benjamin Pauwels has the most shots on target per match for Casa Pia this season (1.1)
Santa Clara have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Santa Clara have kept the most clean sheets in this competition this season (4)
Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 7 matches

As they stood before kick-off.

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: Visitors Unbeaten in Five

Published Sat 10 Oct

Casa Pia meet Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in Rio Maior. The visitors enter the match fourth in the table, while Casa Pia sit 17th after losing all three of their home league fixtures.

Casa Pia have lost three straight at home

Casa Pia picked up their first win of the campaign on 20 September with a 2-1 away victory against Estoril, but their home record remains a concern. In their three Primeira Liga fixtures at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, they have zero wins, zero draws, and three defeats, scoring once and conceding 12 goals. That sequence includes a 4-1 loss to FC Porto on 12 September and a 1-0 defeat against Moreirense on 30 August.

Overall, Casa Pia have collected four points from seven matches, scoring three goals and allowing 16. Their underlying numbers show a deficit as well: over their last five matches with data, they have generated 1.15 expected goals per game while conceding 1.65. They remain without André Gomes due to injury.

Santa Clara hold an unbeaten away record

Santa Clara arrive with 15 points from seven matches, conceding only four league goals all season. On the road, they have two wins and one draw from three matches, scoring four and conceding two. That away run includes a 2-1 victory at Arouca on 13 September and a 1-1 draw at Alverca on 29 August.

Their recent form shows three wins and two draws across their past five outings, capped by a 0-0 home draw against SC Braga on 20 September. Led in attack by Gonçalo Paciência, who has scored five goals in all competitions this season, Santa Clara have created 1.59 expected goals per game across their last five matches while allowing 0.68. MT is ruled out with an injury.

Casa Pia without a win in recent head-to-head meetings

Santa Clara have taken the upper hand in recent encounters between the two clubs. The most recent meeting finished 0-0 on 18 April 2026, but Santa Clara won the previous three: 1-0 on 6 December 2025, 2-1 on 1 February 2025, and 2-0 on 24 August 2024. Casa Pia have failed to score in three of their last four games against Santa Clara.

Our model expects a Santa Clara win

Our model expects a Santa Clara win with medium confidence. The call aligns with Santa Clara's defensive record of four goals conceded in seven matches and their unbeaten away record, alongside Casa Pia's three consecutive home defeats.