

Norway's all-out attack, spearheaded by Haaland and Ødegaard, has produced goals in every game but also left them without a clean sheet all tournament — a recipe for high drama against an England side that is heavily rotated but still packs Kane, Bellingham, and Rice. England’s defensive solidity takes a hit with five regular starters missing, while Norway’s late-game fragility (40% of goals conceded after the 75th minute) could prove decisive. Expect a frantic, end-to-end quarter-final where both teams find the net and the winner is likely settled by a moment of individual brilliance.
Even with heavy rotation, England's underlying numbers (xG for 1.97, against 0.99, 58% possession) suggest superior control, while Norway have shipped seven goals in three group games and lost one of their two home-venue matches.
Norway have zero clean sheets and concede heavily late on; England, despite their rotated XI, haven't lost in five matches and are unlikely to fall to a side so defensively vulnerable.
All five of Norway's recent matches went over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in every single one, and England have scored at least two in four of their last five outings.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Pre-match → Final call, after lineups and injuries landed.
The model reviewed this fixture and held every call unchanged.
Norway
0.68xG
13 shots · 4 on target
England
1.04xG
14 shots · 8 on target
Jude BellinghamGoal
93' · England
Key Moments
Norway
GK · 120' · 1 key pass
FWD · 68' · 1 goal · 1 shot (1 on target)
MID · 60' · 1 key pass · 1 shot
DEF · 60' · 2 key passes
MID · 120' · 1 assist · 2 key passes · 1 shot (1 on target)
England
MID · 111' · 2 goals · 4 shots (2 on target)
DEF · 34' · 1 shot (1 on target)
DEF · 86'
FWD · 75' · 2 key passes · 2 shots (2 on target)
DEF · 49'
Norway
Coach: Stale Solbakken
England
Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Norway
Cold
England
Wirst Injury
Suspension Through Sports Court