Brazil topped Group C with three wins and a draw, conceding just once while controlling games through a strong midfield and an average xG of 2.22 per match. The absence of Raphinha robs them of a key wide threat, but the depth of Vinicius Jr., Neymar, and young Endrick still gives them frightening quality in the final third. Norway finished second in Group I with eight goals scored but also seven conceded, reflecting a team built around Erling Haaland's finishing and a fragile defensive structure that has yet to keep a clean sheet. In this Round of 16 clash, the critical battle will be whether Brazil's compact shape can contain Haaland and Martin Odegaard's creativity on the counter — if Norway can find the net once, expect a wide‑open game.
Brazil's superior defensive organisation (0.68 xG against, two clean sheets in three group games) and consistent chance creation should overpower a Norway side that concedes heavily.
Brazil's attacking xG of 2.22 per game suggests they will score multiple times, while Norway's average of 2.0 goals conceded per group match and the presence of Haaland make a single Norwegian strike likely.
Norway have failed to score in none of their last three matches, and despite Brazil's solid record, the Nordic side's attacking talent — led by Haaland — should breach the defence at least once.
High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →
Brazil
2.61xG
14 shots · 4 on target
Norway
1.05xG
9 shots · 5 on target
NeymarGoal
90+10' · Brazil
Key Moments
Brazil
FWD · 90' · 2 key passes · 2 shots (1 on target)
MID · 90' · 2 key passes
MID · 67' · 2 key passes
MID · 67' · 3 key passes · 2 shots (1 on target)
GK · 90'
Norway
FWD · 90' · 2 goals · 2 key passes · 4 shots (3 on target)
GK · 90'
MID · 90'
DEF · 89'
FWD · 45' · 2 assists · 2 key passes · 1 shot (1 on target)
Brazil
Coach: Carlo Ancelotti
Norway
Coach: Stale Solbakken
Brazil
Hamstring Muscle Injury
Hamstring Muscle Injury
Norway
No team news reported