Latvia vs Montenegro

Latvia host Montenegro in League C Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on Friday, 2 October 2026, at Stadions Skonto in Rīga (Riga), where the two sides arrive at opposite ends of Group 2.

Montenegro lead Group 2 with two wins from two

Montenegro sit top of the four-team standings with six points from their opening two fixtures. They opened their campaign on 25 September 2026 with a 2-1 victory at home against Cyprus. Three days later, on 28 September 2026, they earned a 3-2 victory away at Armenia.

The away side have scored five times across those two fixtures while conceding three. Their away record in this edition of the competition stands at one win from one match. Striker N. Krstović leads the scoring charts for Montenegro with two goals in all competitions this season.

Latvia search for their first goal in Group 2

Latvia occupy fourth place in League C - Group 2 with one point from two matches and a goal difference of -2. They started the campaign on 25 September 2026 with a 2-0 loss away to Armenia. They followed that result on 28 September 2026 with a 0-0 draw at home against Cyprus.

That draw against Cyprus leaves Latvia's home record in the competition at zero wins, one draw, and zero defeats from one fixture, with zero goals scored and zero conceded. Across both matches, Latvia have conceded two goals and have yet to score in this Nations League cycle.

Our model expects a Montenegro win

Our model expects a Montenegro win, offering medium confidence in an away victory. Montenegro carry a five-point lead over Latvia into the match following consecutive victories and five goals scored. Latvia's lack of attacking output across their opening two games, combined with Montenegro's 3-2 victory in Armenia on their travels, supports the model's call.