Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire: 11 Wins from 12 at Home
Updated
Nashville SC host Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on 20 September 2026 at GEODIS Park in Nashville, Tennessee, bringing an unbeaten home record into the match against an opponent winless in five games.
Nashville SC hold 11 wins from 12 at GEODIS Park
Nashville lead the Eastern Conference with 54 points from 25 matches, having scored 50 goals and conceded 21 for a goal difference of +29. Their domestic dominance has been built at GEODIS Park, where they have won 11 and drawn one of their 12 league fixtures, scoring 36 times and conceding 12.
Recent league fixtures have tested them on the road. Nashville drew 2-2 away at Inter Miami on 12 September, lost 1-2 at Toronto FC on 9 September, and drew 0-0 at New York City FC on 4 September. At home, however, they scored seven goals across their last two appearances, beating FC Cincinnati 4-0 on 30 August and Columbus Crew 3-2 on 23 August. Over their last five games with chance data, Nashville generated 1.55 expected goals per match while allowing 1.31. Top scorer Sam Surridge leads the attack with 15 goals in all competitions, while forward W. Madrigal remains sidelined through injury.
Chicago Fire winless in five league fixtures
Chicago Fire enter the contest fifth in the Eastern Conference with 39 points from 24 games. They have failed to take three points in each of their last five outings, most recently losing 2-1 at home to New England Revolution on 13 September. Prior to that defeat, Chicago recorded four consecutive draws: 1-1 against Inter Miami on 10 September, 4-4 at Toronto FC on 5 September, 2-2 at Seattle Sounders on 29 August, and 1-1 at New York Red Bulls on 22 August.
Away from home in league play, Chicago have collected four wins, five draws, and three defeats from 12 games, scoring 23 and conceding 21. Top scorer Hugo Cuypers has registered 13 goals across all competitions this season. The visitors carry personnel issues into the match, with defenders A. Franco and M. Mbokazi ruled out with injuries, while midfielder A. Saletros is doubtful.
Recent head-to-head meetings show mixed outcomes. Chicago Fire won the reverse fixture 1-0 on 5 April 2026, but their previous trip to GEODIS Park on 27 April 2025 resulted in a 7-2 defeat.
Our model firmly expects a Nashville SC win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Nashville SC win. The call reflects Nashville's near-flawless home return of 34 points from an available 36, combined with Chicago Fire's ongoing five-match winless streak and missing personnel in defence.

