Chicago Fire vs New York City FC

Chicago Fire face New York City FC in Major League Soccer on Saturday, 10 October 2026, at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois, with the visitors missing six players through injury.

Six injured for New York City FC

Arnau Farnós, Drew Baiera, Kai Trewin, Keaton Parks, Maxi Moralez, and Talles Magno are all ruled out of this fixture with injuries. The missing group leaves New York City FC shorthanded as they sit ninth in the Eastern Conference with 33 points from 27 matches. The team has managed one victory in their last five league games, drawing 2-2 at Atlanta United FC on 26 September and losing 1-0 at home to New York Red Bulls on 18 September. Top scorer Nicolás Fernández leads their attack with 15 goals in all competitions, though the side has produced an average of 1.16 expected goals while conceding 1.48 across their last five games with chance data.

Chicago Fire have won eight home matches

Chicago Fire sit fourth in the Eastern Conference on 45 points, twelve points ahead of the visitors. At Soldier Field, Chicago have posted eight wins, one draw, and four defeats in 13 league fixtures, scoring 25 goals and conceding 15. They enter Saturday following two consecutive wins: a 1-0 victory away to Charlotte on 26 September and a 3-1 home win over Vancouver Whitecaps on 7 October. Hugo Cuypers leads the squad with 13 goals this season. Over their last five games with chance tracking, Chicago created 1.81 expected goals per match and allowed 1.50. André Franco is their sole confirmed absentee due to injury.

New York City FC won the last three meetings 3-1

Recent meetings between these two sides have belonged to the visitors. New York City FC defeated Chicago 3-1 in each of the previous three encounters: on 25 May 2025, 14 September 2025, and most recently on 25 July 2026. The two matches before that sequence ended level during 2024, with a 2-2 draw on 24 August and a 0-0 draw on 14 July. Away from home in MLS this season, New York City FC hold a balanced record of four wins, five draws, and four losses across 13 fixtures.

Our model expects a Chicago Fire win

Our model expects a Chicago Fire win with medium confidence. Chicago Fire bring stronger recent league form with two straight victories and have taken 25 points from 13 home matches this campaign. New York City FC's list of six injured players hampers their ability to replicate their recent 3-1 victories in this head-to-head series.