New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: Four Hosts Out
Published
New York Red Bulls host San Diego in Major League Soccer on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, New Jersey, with the home side coping with four confirmed absences through injury.
Red Bulls depleted across the squad
New York Red Bulls sit eighth in the Eastern Conference with 33 points from 27 games and enter this fixture missing AJ Marcucci, Cameron Harper, Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty, and Justin Che, all sidelined with injuries. The home side fell 3-0 against St. Louis City on 30 September, ending a brief run that featured 1-0 away victories at New York City FC on 18 September and Columbus Crew on 12 September. Across their last five matches with available chance metrics, New York generated 1.06 expected goals per game while allowing 1.75. Top scorer Julian Hall leads the attack with 10 goals in all competitions, though New York have won only four of their 13 home league matches this season, conceding 26 goals in that span.
San Diego search for first win in six
San Diego travel to Harrison in 12th place in the Western Conference on 32 points, carrying an even goal difference of zero after scoring and conceding 47 goals across 27 fixtures. The visitors are without a victory in their last five league games, most recently drawing 3-3 at Austin on 27 September and 2-2 at Inter Miami on 20 September. Gabriel Pirani is their sole confirmed absentee due to injury. Leading scorer Marcus Ingvartsen has produced 12 goals across all competitions this season for an attack generating 1.45 expected goals per match over their last five games, though defensive vulnerabilities remain evident after allowing 1.97 expected goals per contest and conceding 23 goals in 13 away outings.
Our model leans towards a San Diego win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a San Diego win. The assessment reflects San Diego's higher rate of chance creation at 1.45 expected goals per game and New York's list of four defensive and squad absences, counterbalanced by San Diego's record of just two wins in 13 away league fixtures this campaign.
