Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew: Eight Away Losses
Published
Orlando City SC host Columbus Crew in Major League Soccer on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Exploria Stadium in Orlando, facing a Columbus side that has suffered eight away defeats in 13 trips this season.
Orlando look to steady their defence at home
Orlando City SC sit seventh in the Eastern Conference with 34 points from 27 games. While their defence has conceded 64 goals across 27 matches—contributing to a minus-16 goal difference—their form at Exploria Stadium has produced seven wins, two draws, and four defeats from 13 fixtures. They return home after back-to-back 4-2 away losses against Philadelphia Union on 26 September and New England Revolution on 19 September.
In attack, Orlando continue to produce high chance volume, averaging 2.00 expected goals created and 1.75 allowed across their last five matches. Top scorer Martín Ojeda leads the club with 13 goals across all competitions. For this fixture, Orlando will be without Braian Ojeda due to injury, while Griffin Dorsey remains doubtful.
Columbus bring back-to-back victories on the road
Columbus Crew enter Matchweek 28 in 12th place in the Eastern Conference with 29 points from 27 matches. The visitors have posted consecutive wins, beating CF Montreal 2-0 away on 19 September before edging Inter Miami 2-1 on 27 September with a stoppage-time goal from Jamal Thiaré.
Despite those recent victories, Columbus have found consistency away from home difficult, recording two wins, three draws, and eight defeats in 13 away league fixtures while allowing 27 goals. Top scorer Diego Rossi leads the attack with six goals in all competitions, though the side will operate without injured forward Wessam Abou Ali. In their last five matches with chance data, Columbus generated 1.43 expected goals per game while allowing 1.06. Recent history between the two clubs has been balanced, including consecutive 1-1 draws on 12 April 2026 and 4 October 2025.
Our model expects an Orlando City SC win
Our model expects an Orlando City SC win, assigning medium confidence to a home victory. Orlando's home record of seven victories from 13 matches contrasts sharply with Columbus's eight road defeats, and Orlando's offensive rate of 2.00 expected goals created per game provides a scoring threat that counterbalances their recent defensive concessions.
