FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution: Three Out
Published
FC Cincinnati face New England Revolution in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio, with the visitors arriving on the back of consecutive 3-0 defeats.
New England arrive after back-to-back 3-0 losses
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with 46 points from 28 matches, but their recent form has dipped sharply. After winning three consecutive matches between 10 September and 19 September, New England lost 3-0 away to Real Salt Lake on 27 September and followed that with another 3-0 defeat at home against Seattle Sounders on 10 October.
The visitors travel without three injured players: Alhassan Yusuf, Jack Harrison, and Leonardo Campana. That leaves top scorer Carles Gil, who has 12 goals in all competitions, to lead an attack that has averaged 1.47 expected goals created across its last five matches while conceding 1.50. On the road this league season, New England have taken five wins and two draws from 14 outings, losing seven times with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded.
Cincinnati strong at TQL Stadium despite high concessions
FC Cincinnati occupy ninth place in the Eastern Conference with 36 points from 27 fixtures, holding a minus-seven goal difference after scoring 58 and conceding 65. They enter this fixture following a 3-1 away victory against Atlanta United FC on 10 October, which arrested a four-game winless stretch that included a 5-0 loss to Philadelphia Union and a 3-1 loss to CF Montreal.
At TQL Stadium, Cincinnati have been sturdy, winning seven, drawing three, and losing two of their 12 home matches while scoring 34 times. Top scorer Kévin Denkey has 16 goals in all competitions this season, spearheading an attack generating 1.83 expected goals per game over their last five matches. The home side will be without the injured Evander, while their defense continues to concede chances, allowing 1.91 expected goals per match in that same span. In their first meeting of 2026 on 15 March, New England defeated Cincinnati 6-1.
Our model expects a FC Cincinnati win
Our forecasting model expects a FC Cincinnati win with medium confidence. The call reflects Cincinnati's solid home record of seven victories from 12 matches at TQL Stadium, alongside New England's consecutive 3-0 defeats and the confirmed absences of Yusuf, Harrison, and Campana.
