FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders: Three Sounders Out
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FC Dallas face Seattle Sounders in Major League Soccer on 15 October 2026 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas, with the hosts defending third place in the Western Conference.
Petar Musa leads a prolific Dallas attack
FC Dallas enter the fixture third in the Western Conference with 47 points from 28 matches, having scored 52 goals and conceded 45. Petar Musa leads their attack with 19 goals in all competitions this season. At Toyota Stadium, Dallas have lost twice in 13 league fixtures, posting six wins and five draws while scoring 25 times. Although they suffered a 3-2 defeat away at Charlotte on 10 October 2026, their previous two home fixtures produced clean sheets in a 1-0 victory over Los Angeles FC and a 0-0 draw with Austin. Over their last five matches with chance data, Dallas have averaged 1.65 expected goals created and 1.36 conceded per game.
Seattle arrive unbeaten in five despite three injuries
Seattle Sounders sit seventh in the Western Conference on 41 points from 28 matches. They enter this fixture on a four-game winning streak following a 3-0 away victory against New England Revolution on 10 October 2026, which followed wins against Sporting Kansas City (2-1), Minnesota United FC (3-1), and Real Salt Lake (2-0). However, the visitors travel without Nikola Petković, Paul Rothrock, and Pedro De la Vega, who are all sidelined through injury. Dejan Joveljić leads Seattle's scoring chart this season with five goals in all competitions. Across 14 away matches in league play, Seattle have taken four wins, five draws, and five defeats, recording 1.34 expected goals created per game across their last five matches.
Head-to-head record favours Seattle
Seattle Sounders have controlled recent meetings between the clubs. Seattle won 2-1 on 26 April 2026 and claimed both fixtures in 2025 by 1-0 scorelines, including a victory at Toyota Stadium on 13 April 2025. Across the last five encounters, FC Dallas are winless against Seattle, having drawn 0-0 on 14 April 2024 and lost the other four meetings.
Our model expects an FC Dallas win
Our forecasting model expects an FC Dallas win. Dallas have lost two of 13 league games at Toyota Stadium and rely on Petar Musa's 19 goals in attack. Although Seattle Sounders are unbeaten in five matches and hold an advantage in recent head-to-head meetings, their list of three injured players and an away record containing five defeats underpin the forecast for a home win.
