CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC: Bottom Two Clash
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CF Montreal host Atlanta United FC in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, at Saputo Stadium, with three points separating the Eastern Conference's bottom two sides.
Montreal lean on Owusu despite defensive leak
Montreal sit 15th in the Eastern Conference with 24 points from 28 matches, having conceded 56 goals alongside a goal difference of -21. Even so, Prince-Osei Owusu has provided steady output in attack, scoring 15 goals across all competitions this season. Montreal enter after a 1-2 defeat away at Toronto FC on 10 October 2026, though their last home match at Saputo Stadium produced a 3-1 victory over FC Cincinnati on 26 September 2026. Across 14 home league fixtures this campaign, Montreal have four wins, five draws, and five defeats, scoring 19 goals and conceding 18. Bode Hidalgo and Josh Nteziryayo are both ruled out through injury.
Atlanta struggle for goals on the road
Atlanta United FC occupy 14th place in the table with 27 points from 28 matches and a goal difference of -15. Their scoring numbers remain modest, with 33 league goals overall and Aleksey Miranchuk leading the club on six goals in all competitions. Atlanta have won three of their 14 away matches in the competition, drawing four and losing seven while scoring 13 goals and conceding 22. They head to Montreal after a 1-3 home defeat against FC Cincinnati on 10 October 2026, with Will Reilly unavailable due to injury. In their previous encounter on 2 May 2026, Atlanta recorded a 3-1 home win over Montreal, leaving Montreal without a win in their last four meetings dating back to a 1-2 away result on 2 October 2024.
Our model leans towards a CF Montreal win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a CF Montreal win. Montreal have averaged 1.23 expected goals created per game across their last five matches with data, edging Atlanta's 1.06, even though Montreal allow 1.62 expected goals per game to Atlanta's 1.53. With Atlanta taking three wins from 14 away matches and Montreal recently collecting all three points against FC Cincinnati on home turf, the venue gives Montreal a minor advantage in the basement standings.
